Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Jinan em 8 de setembro?
18°C 99.5%
12°C ou menos 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
$2,669 Vol.
$2,669 Vol.
8 set 2026
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Sim
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Não
18°C 99.5%
12°C ou menos 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
15°C 1.0%
$2,669 Vol.
$2,669 Vol.
8 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$117 Vol.
Não
13°C
$449 Vol.
Não
14°C
$135 Vol.
Não
15°C
$69 Vol.
Não
16°C
$117 Vol.
Não
17°C
$67 Vol.
Não
18°C
$140 Vol.
Sim
19°C
$115 Vol.
Não
20°C
$145 Vol.
Não
21°C
$225 Vol.
Não
22°C ou mais
$1,090 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,669Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,669Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Traders assign 90.5% implied probability to an 18°C low in Jinan on September 8 because official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models consistently project overnight minima near that threshold under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds. Cloud cover limits radiative cooling while regional high pressure maintains mild conditions, aligning with recent observations of 17–21°C lows in similar late-summer setups. The consensus reflects aggregated model agreement rather than any single run. A rapid clearing of skies or an unexpected wind shift could allow temperatures to dip toward 16°C or lower at official stations, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight local time.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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