**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 15 point to an overnight low near 79–82°F under partly cloudy skies with persistent easterly flow.** This aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 51% implied probability, followed closely by 82–83°F and 78–79°F outcomes. Subtropical ridging and elevated dew points in the mid-70s limit radiational cooling typical of drier air masses, while light winds and scattered showers or thunderstorms—driven by daytime heating and sea-breeze convergence—further moderate temperature drops. Historical September climatology for Miami shows average lows around 76–78°F, but current model consensus and recent observations reflect slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions without frontal passages or unusual cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations overnight or early morning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 15 de setembro?
26,6-27,2°C 51%
82-83°F 30%
84-85°F 27%
74-75°F 25%
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
21%
26,6-27,2°C
51%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
26,6-27,2°C 51%
82-83°F 30%
84-85°F 27%
74-75°F 25%
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
21%
26,6-27,2°C
51%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 15 point to an overnight low near 79–82°F under partly cloudy skies with persistent easterly flow.** This aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 51% implied probability, followed closely by 82–83°F and 78–79°F outcomes. Subtropical ridging and elevated dew points in the mid-70s limit radiational cooling typical of drier air masses, while light winds and scattered showers or thunderstorms—driven by daytime heating and sea-breeze convergence—further moderate temperature drops. Historical September climatology for Miami shows average lows around 76–78°F, but current model consensus and recent observations reflect slightly warmer boundary-layer conditions without frontal passages or unusual cold-air advection. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations overnight or early morning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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