**Latest official and model forecasts for Milan indicate an overnight low around 21–23°C on August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C (68% implied probability) and 23°C (44.5%).** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, ilMeteo.it, globalmeteo.com, and Met Office guidance, project nighttime minima near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light easterly or variable winds and moderate humidity. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Scientific drivers include the current synoptic pattern of relatively stable late-summer air masses with minimal cold-air advection from the north, combined with expected cloud cover that traps heat near the surface. Ensemble model guidance (e.g., ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in forecasts) shows tight clustering in this temperature band, with low probability of extremes—consistent with the market assigning under 1% to 16°C or below or 24°C and above. Recent model updates have reinforced this consensus without major shifts from prior days, reflecting typical Po Valley climatology for late August where diurnal ranges moderate under humid, weakly sheared flow. Traders appear to be pricing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these converging forecasts and the narrow uncertainty range for the daily minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão no dia 28 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Milão no dia 28 de agosto?
17°C 28%
21°C 5%
19°C 2%
20°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
15%
18°C
27%
19°C
15%
20°C
26%
21°C
24%
22°C
68%
23°C
45%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
17°C 28%
21°C 5%
19°C 2%
20°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
16°C or below
$147 Vol.
1%
17°C
$172 Vol.
15%
18°C
$71 Vol.
27%
19°C
$59 Vol.
15%
20°C
$71 Vol.
26%
21°C
$87 Vol.
24%
22°C
$80 Vol.
68%
23°C
$80 Vol.
45%
24°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$114 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$159 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official and model forecasts for Milan indicate an overnight low around 21–23°C on August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C (68% implied probability) and 23°C (44.5%).**
Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, ilMeteo.it, globalmeteo.com, and Met Office guidance, project nighttime minima near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light easterly or variable winds and moderate humidity. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops.
Scientific drivers include the current synoptic pattern of relatively stable late-summer air masses with minimal cold-air advection from the north, combined with expected cloud cover that traps heat near the surface. Ensemble model guidance (e.g., ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in forecasts) shows tight clustering in this temperature band, with low probability of extremes—consistent with the market assigning under 1% to 16°C or below or 24°C and above.
Recent model updates have reinforced this consensus without major shifts from prior days, reflecting typical Po Valley climatology for late August where diurnal ranges moderate under humid, weakly sheared flow. Traders appear to be pricing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these converging forecasts and the narrow uncertainty range for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,246Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official and model forecasts for Milan indicate an overnight low around 21–23°C on August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C (68% implied probability) and 23°C (44.5%).**
Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, ilMeteo.it, globalmeteo.com, and Met Office guidance, project nighttime minima near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light easterly or variable winds and moderate humidity. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops.
Scientific drivers include the current synoptic pattern of relatively stable late-summer air masses with minimal cold-air advection from the north, combined with expected cloud cover that traps heat near the surface. Ensemble model guidance (e.g., ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in forecasts) shows tight clustering in this temperature band, with low probability of extremes—consistent with the market assigning under 1% to 16°C or below or 24°C and above.
Recent model updates have reinforced this consensus without major shifts from prior days, reflecting typical Po Valley climatology for late August where diurnal ranges moderate under humid, weakly sheared flow. Traders appear to be pricing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these converging forecasts and the narrow uncertainty range for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,246Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest official and model forecasts for Milan indicate an overnight low around 21–23°C on August 28, 2026, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on 22°C (68% implied probability) and 23°C (44.5%).** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug, ilMeteo.it, globalmeteo.com, and Met Office guidance, project nighttime minima near 21–22°C (roughly 70–72°F) under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light easterly or variable winds and moderate humidity. These conditions limit strong radiative cooling while preventing sharp drops. Scientific drivers include the current synoptic pattern of relatively stable late-summer air masses with minimal cold-air advection from the north, combined with expected cloud cover that traps heat near the surface. Ensemble model guidance (e.g., ECMWF and GFS runs referenced in forecasts) shows tight clustering in this temperature band, with low probability of extremes—consistent with the market assigning under 1% to 16°C or below or 24°C and above. Recent model updates have reinforced this consensus without major shifts from prior days, reflecting typical Po Valley climatology for late August where diurnal ranges moderate under humid, weakly sheared flow. Traders appear to be pricing the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these converging forecasts and the narrow uncertainty range for the daily minimum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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