Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center highlight a nighttime low near 8°C in Moscow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 6–11 m/s and normal pressure, driving the tight market clustering around 8°C and 9°C implied probabilities. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by variable cloud cover that limits heat loss and light winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing, creates the narrow spread between these thresholds. Ensemble model runs show minor divergences in minimum temperature due to subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture, while historical September averages near 8.6°C provide context but recent mild conditions have kept extremes unlikely. Real-time station observations through the night will refine resolution as cooling peaks before dawn.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 12 de setembro?
9°C 51%
4°C ou menos 50%
7°C 10%
6°C 6%
$284 Vol.
$284 Vol.
12 set 2026
4°C ou menos
50%
5°C
4%
6°C
6%
7°C
10%
8°C
51%
9°C
51%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C ou mais
<1%
9°C 51%
4°C ou menos 50%
7°C 10%
6°C 6%
$284 Vol.
$284 Vol.
12 set 2026
4°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
50%
5°C
$0 Vol.
4%
6°C
$0 Vol.
6%
7°C
$35 Vol.
10%
8°C
$23 Vol.
51%
9°C
$0 Vol.
51%
10°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
14°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center highlight a nighttime low near 8°C in Moscow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 6–11 m/s and normal pressure, driving the tight market clustering around 8°C and 9°C implied probabilities. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by variable cloud cover that limits heat loss and light winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing, creates the narrow spread between these thresholds. Ensemble model runs show minor divergences in minimum temperature due to subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture, while historical September averages near 8.6°C provide context but recent mild conditions have kept extremes unlikely. Real-time station observations through the night will refine resolution as cooling peaks before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$284Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center highlight a nighttime low near 8°C in Moscow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 6–11 m/s and normal pressure, driving the tight market clustering around 8°C and 9°C implied probabilities. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by variable cloud cover that limits heat loss and light winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing, creates the narrow spread between these thresholds. Ensemble model runs show minor divergences in minimum temperature due to subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture, while historical September averages near 8.6°C provide context but recent mild conditions have kept extremes unlikely. Real-time station observations through the night will refine resolution as cooling peaks before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$284Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center highlight a nighttime low near 8°C in Moscow on September 12, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with westerly winds of 6–11 m/s and normal pressure, driving the tight market clustering around 8°C and 9°C implied probabilities. Radiative cooling overnight, modulated by variable cloud cover that limits heat loss and light winds that reduce boundary-layer mixing, creates the narrow spread between these thresholds. Ensemble model runs show minor divergences in minimum temperature due to subtle differences in steering patterns and moisture, while historical September averages near 8.6°C provide context but recent mild conditions have kept extremes unlikely. Real-time station observations through the night will refine resolution as cooling peaks before dawn.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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