Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave driven by southerly advection of warm African air, elevating minimum temperatures in Paris on June 18. This pattern suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning overnight lows near 18–20°C according to current guidance, which aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have shown consistent warming trends without significant downward revisions, reinforcing trader consensus around these values while leaving modest probability for slight variations tied to local urban heat island effects or minor forecast adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris em 18 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris em 18 de junho?
18°C 43%
19°C 26%
20°C 16%
17°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
43%
19°C
26%
20°C
16%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C ou mais
1%
18°C 43%
19°C 26%
20°C 16%
17°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
13°C ou menos
$15 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$151 Vol.
1%
15°C
$20 Vol.
1%
16°C
$16 Vol.
3%
17°C
$20 Vol.
8%
18°C
$171 Vol.
43%
19°C
$213 Vol.
26%
20°C
$99 Vol.
16%
21°C
$11 Vol.
3%
22°C
$110 Vol.
1%
23°C ou mais
$550 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave driven by southerly advection of warm African air, elevating minimum temperatures in Paris on June 18. This pattern suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning overnight lows near 18–20°C according to current guidance, which aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have shown consistent warming trends without significant downward revisions, reinforcing trader consensus around these values while leaving modest probability for slight variations tied to local urban heat island effects or minor forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,376Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave driven by southerly advection of warm African air, elevating minimum temperatures in Paris on June 18. This pattern suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning overnight lows near 18–20°C according to current guidance, which aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have shown consistent warming trends without significant downward revisions, reinforcing trader consensus around these values while leaving modest probability for slight variations tied to local urban heat island effects or minor forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,376Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a heatwave driven by southerly advection of warm African air, elevating minimum temperatures in Paris on June 18. This pattern suppresses nocturnal radiative cooling, positioning overnight lows near 18–20°C according to current guidance, which aligns with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Updated model runs over the past 48 hours have shown consistent warming trends without significant downward revisions, reinforcing trader consensus around these values while leaving modest probability for slight variations tied to local urban heat island effects or minor forecast adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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