Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 28, driven by persistent high humidity, cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Daytime maxima near 30–32°C and dew points in the mid-20s have maintained elevated overnight lows relative to drier historical analogs for late August. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these outcomes because the latest model consensus and morning observations show no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would allow temperatures to fall to 24°C or below before dawn.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 28 de agosto?
26°C 59%
25°C 32%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
32%
26°C
59%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 59%
25°C 32%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
32%
26°C
59%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for Incheon/Seoul on August 28, driven by persistent high humidity, cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Daytime maxima near 30–32°C and dew points in the mid-20s have maintained elevated overnight lows relative to drier historical analogs for late August. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to these outcomes because the latest model consensus and morning observations show no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky conditions that would allow temperatures to fall to 24°C or below before dawn.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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