Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models positions a minimum of 23–24 °C as the most likely outcome for Incheon on August 30, driven by persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 85–90 %, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current observations and short-range guidance show early-morning temperatures stabilizing near 22–23 °C under thick cloud cover, consistent with the humid summer regime and absence of a clearing cold-air advection event. This setup aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 24 °C (50.5 %) and 23 °C (39.5 %), reflecting trader assessment of limited downside risk from further cooling while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 30 de agosto?
24°C 53%
23°C 39%
25°C 10%
22°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
39%
24°C
53%
25°C
10%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 53%
23°C 39%
25°C 10%
22°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
18°C or below
$67 Vol.
1%
19°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$328 Vol.
1%
21°C
$114 Vol.
2%
22°C
$432 Vol.
9%
23°C
$262 Vol.
39%
24°C
$896 Vol.
53%
25°C
$251 Vol.
10%
26°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,034 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models positions a minimum of 23–24 °C as the most likely outcome for Incheon on August 30, driven by persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 85–90 %, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current observations and short-range guidance show early-morning temperatures stabilizing near 22–23 °C under thick cloud cover, consistent with the humid summer regime and absence of a clearing cold-air advection event. This setup aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 24 °C (50.5 %) and 23 °C (39.5 %), reflecting trader assessment of limited downside risk from further cooling while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,998Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models positions a minimum of 23–24 °C as the most likely outcome for Incheon on August 30, driven by persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 85–90 %, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current observations and short-range guidance show early-morning temperatures stabilizing near 22–23 °C under thick cloud cover, consistent with the humid summer regime and absence of a clearing cold-air advection event. This setup aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 24 °C (50.5 %) and 23 °C (39.5 %), reflecting trader assessment of limited downside risk from further cooling while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,998Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models positions a minimum of 23–24 °C as the most likely outcome for Incheon on August 30, driven by persistent overcast skies, high humidity near 85–90 %, and light northerly winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current observations and short-range guidance show early-morning temperatures stabilizing near 22–23 °C under thick cloud cover, consistent with the humid summer regime and absence of a clearing cold-air advection event. This setup aligns closely with market-implied probabilities favoring 24 °C (50.5 %) and 23 °C (39.5 %), reflecting trader assessment of limited downside risk from further cooling while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 29 will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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