**Consistent forecast model consensus from regional meteorological data supports the strong market positioning at 18°C.** Overnight conditions in Incheon on September 12 feature persistent cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling, with hourly guidance showing minimums stabilizing near 18°C (64–65°F) after evening temperatures around 21–24°C. This aligns with GFS-derived runs and historical September baselines for the Seoul-Incheon area, where typical diurnal ranges under similar synoptic patterns produce lows in this narrow band. Trader consensus, reflected in the 99.1% implied probability, incorporates these verified observational trends and model agreement. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharper-than-forecast cold advection, though current pressure fields and humidity levels make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 12 de setembro?
18°C 99.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
13°C ou menos <1%
$10,459 Vol.
$10,459 Vol.
12 set 2026
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 99.0%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
13°C ou menos <1%
$10,459 Vol.
$10,459 Vol.
12 set 2026
13°C ou menos
$259 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,187 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,512 Vol.
99%
19°C
$2,961 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$251 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
23°C ou mais
$259 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent forecast model consensus from regional meteorological data supports the strong market positioning at 18°C.** Overnight conditions in Incheon on September 12 feature persistent cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling, with hourly guidance showing minimums stabilizing near 18°C (64–65°F) after evening temperatures around 21–24°C. This aligns with GFS-derived runs and historical September baselines for the Seoul-Incheon area, where typical diurnal ranges under similar synoptic patterns produce lows in this narrow band. Trader consensus, reflected in the 99.1% implied probability, incorporates these verified observational trends and model agreement. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharper-than-forecast cold advection, though current pressure fields and humidity levels make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$10,459Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Consistent forecast model consensus from regional meteorological data supports the strong market positioning at 18°C.** Overnight conditions in Incheon on September 12 feature persistent cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling, with hourly guidance showing minimums stabilizing near 18°C (64–65°F) after evening temperatures around 21–24°C. This aligns with GFS-derived runs and historical September baselines for the Seoul-Incheon area, where typical diurnal ranges under similar synoptic patterns produce lows in this narrow band. Trader consensus, reflected in the 99.1% implied probability, incorporates these verified observational trends and model agreement. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharper-than-forecast cold advection, though current pressure fields and humidity levels make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,459Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Consistent forecast model consensus from regional meteorological data supports the strong market positioning at 18°C.** Overnight conditions in Incheon on September 12 feature persistent cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling, with hourly guidance showing minimums stabilizing near 18°C (64–65°F) after evening temperatures around 21–24°C. This aligns with GFS-derived runs and historical September baselines for the Seoul-Incheon area, where typical diurnal ranges under similar synoptic patterns produce lows in this narrow band. Trader consensus, reflected in the 99.1% implied probability, incorporates these verified observational trends and model agreement. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected clearing of skies or a sharper-than-forecast cold advection, though current pressure fields and humidity levels make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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