Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows of 23–25°C in Shenzhen on September 12, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms linked to regional monsoon influences that limit radiative cooling. This setup creates tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes clustered around 21–26°C, as small variations in wind patterns or localized precipitation could shift the official minimum by 1–2°C at monitoring stations. Subtropical September baselines typically feature similar nighttime temperatures, underscoring why trader sentiment remains balanced amid inherent forecast spread in ensemble runs. Fresh model updates and preliminary observations throughout the day will provide key data ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 12 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Shenzhen em 12 de setembro?
21°C ou menos 80%
31°C ou mais 66%
26°C 48%
23°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
21°C ou menos
80%
22°C
38%
23°C
39%
24°C
26%
25°C
30%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
8%
29°C
37%
30°C
37%
31°C ou mais
66%
21°C ou menos 80%
31°C ou mais 66%
26°C 48%
23°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
12 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
80%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$42 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
37%
30°C
$0 Vol.
37%
31°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows of 23–25°C in Shenzhen on September 12, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms linked to regional monsoon influences that limit radiative cooling. This setup creates tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes clustered around 21–26°C, as small variations in wind patterns or localized precipitation could shift the official minimum by 1–2°C at monitoring stations. Subtropical September baselines typically feature similar nighttime temperatures, underscoring why trader sentiment remains balanced amid inherent forecast spread in ensemble runs. Fresh model updates and preliminary observations throughout the day will provide key data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$42Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows of 23–25°C in Shenzhen on September 12, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms linked to regional monsoon influences that limit radiative cooling. This setup creates tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes clustered around 21–26°C, as small variations in wind patterns or localized precipitation could shift the official minimum by 1–2°C at monitoring stations. Subtropical September baselines typically feature similar nighttime temperatures, underscoring why trader sentiment remains balanced amid inherent forecast spread in ensemble runs. Fresh model updates and preliminary observations throughout the day will provide key data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42Data de Término
12 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows of 23–25°C in Shenzhen on September 12, driven by widespread cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms linked to regional monsoon influences that limit radiative cooling. This setup creates tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes clustered around 21–26°C, as small variations in wind patterns or localized precipitation could shift the official minimum by 1–2°C at monitoring stations. Subtropical September baselines typically feature similar nighttime temperatures, underscoring why trader sentiment remains balanced amid inherent forecast spread in ensemble runs. Fresh model updates and preliminary observations throughout the day will provide key data ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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