**Latest ensemble forecasts from regional and global models show Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 28 clustered tightly around 24–26 °C, with trader consensus favoring 25–26 °C.** Persistent high humidity (dew points near 24 °C) and widespread cloud cover from lingering moisture limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping the low close to the dew point rather than dropping further. Light winds and possible scattered showers further moderate temperature falls, while subtle differences in model handling of cloud thickness and timing explain the narrow spread between the leading 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology (average low ~23 °C) provides context, but current conditions support slightly warmer readings. Final Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and early-morning observations will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 28 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 28 de agosto?
26°C 42%
25°C 39%
27°C 18%
24°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
47%
26°C
42%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 39%
27°C 18%
24°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
22°C or below
$224 Vol.
6%
23°C
$64 Vol.
5%
24°C
$96 Vol.
10%
25°C
$489 Vol.
47%
26°C
$268 Vol.
42%
27°C
$63 Vol.
10%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$32 Vol.
1%
30°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$142 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from regional and global models show Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 28 clustered tightly around 24–26 °C, with trader consensus favoring 25–26 °C.** Persistent high humidity (dew points near 24 °C) and widespread cloud cover from lingering moisture limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping the low close to the dew point rather than dropping further. Light winds and possible scattered showers further moderate temperature falls, while subtle differences in model handling of cloud thickness and timing explain the narrow spread between the leading 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology (average low ~23 °C) provides context, but current conditions support slightly warmer readings. Final Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and early-morning observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,642Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from regional and global models show Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 28 clustered tightly around 24–26 °C, with trader consensus favoring 25–26 °C.** Persistent high humidity (dew points near 24 °C) and widespread cloud cover from lingering moisture limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping the low close to the dew point rather than dropping further. Light winds and possible scattered showers further moderate temperature falls, while subtle differences in model handling of cloud thickness and timing explain the narrow spread between the leading 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology (average low ~23 °C) provides context, but current conditions support slightly warmer readings. Final Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and early-morning observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,642Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from regional and global models show Tokyo's overnight minimum on August 28 clustered tightly around 24–26 °C, with trader consensus favoring 25–26 °C.** Persistent high humidity (dew points near 24 °C) and widespread cloud cover from lingering moisture limit radiative cooling after sunset, keeping the low close to the dew point rather than dropping further. Light winds and possible scattered showers further moderate temperature falls, while subtle differences in model handling of cloud thickness and timing explain the narrow spread between the leading 25 °C and 26 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology (average low ~23 °C) provides context, but current conditions support slightly warmer readings. Final Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and early-morning observations will resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions