The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast calls for a 19°C minimum in Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, a setup that typically limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports lows near or slightly above seasonal norms. Traders appear to favor 20–21°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest spread in cloud thickness, humidity, and wind, any of which can raise the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical June minima in Tokyo average around 17–18°C, yet the current pattern of persistent moisture from the advancing Baiu front favors warmer readings. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing on June 17 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio em 18 de junho?
21°C 43%
20°C 38%
22°C 9%
19°C 4.5%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
15°C ou menos
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
38%
21°C
43%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 43%
20°C 38%
22°C 9%
19°C 4.5%
NOVO
NOVO
18 jun 2026
15°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$111 Vol.
1%
18°C
$11 Vol.
2%
19°C
$69 Vol.
5%
20°C
$91 Vol.
38%
21°C
$24 Vol.
43%
22°C
$1 Vol.
9%
23°C
$25 Vol.
2%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast calls for a 19°C minimum in Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, a setup that typically limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports lows near or slightly above seasonal norms. Traders appear to favor 20–21°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest spread in cloud thickness, humidity, and wind, any of which can raise the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical June minima in Tokyo average around 17–18°C, yet the current pattern of persistent moisture from the advancing Baiu front favors warmer readings. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing on June 17 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$468Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast calls for a 19°C minimum in Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, a setup that typically limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports lows near or slightly above seasonal norms. Traders appear to favor 20–21°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest spread in cloud thickness, humidity, and wind, any of which can raise the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical June minima in Tokyo average around 17–18°C, yet the current pattern of persistent moisture from the advancing Baiu front favors warmer readings. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing on June 17 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$468Data de Término
18 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast calls for a 19°C minimum in Tokyo on June 18 under cloudy skies with scattered showers, a setup that typically limits nighttime radiative cooling and supports lows near or slightly above seasonal norms. Traders appear to favor 20–21°C outcomes because ensemble models show modest spread in cloud thickness, humidity, and wind, any of which can raise the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical June minima in Tokyo average around 17–18°C, yet the current pattern of persistent moisture from the advancing Baiu front favors warmer readings. Updated model runs and the next JMA briefing on June 17 remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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