Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for Warsaw on August 31, driven by moderate southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under late-summer conditions. Overnight lows have trended downward from recent days near 18°C, consistent with seasonal decline toward September averages around 15°C, while daytime highs near 25–27°C provide context for the daily range. Trader sentiment clusters around 15–17°C outcomes because small variations in timing of cloud breaks or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, with only low probability assigned to extremes below 10°C or above 20°C given the stable pattern. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.