Current short-range ensemble forecasts for Warsaw show tight clustering around overnight lows of 13–15°C on August 29, with the near-even market split reflecting model disagreement on radiative cooling efficiency. Clear skies and light winds would favor the lower end by enhancing surface heat loss, while any increase in low-level cloud cover or weak warm advection from the west could hold minima near 15°C. Late-August climatology places typical lows near 14–16°C, so resolution hinges on the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus IMGW observations confirming whether calm, dry conditions or subtle frontal influences prevail overnight. Traders are weighting these physical thresholds heavily ahead of final verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia em 29 de agosto?
15°C 45%
13°C 41%
21°C or higher 28%
16°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
11°C or below
4%
12°C
8%
13°C
41%
14°C
11%
15°C
45%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
28%
15°C 45%
13°C 41%
21°C or higher 28%
16°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
11°C or below
$21 Vol.
4%
12°C
$5 Vol.
8%
13°C
$6 Vol.
41%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
27%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$10 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts for Warsaw show tight clustering around overnight lows of 13–15°C on August 29, with the near-even market split reflecting model disagreement on radiative cooling efficiency. Clear skies and light winds would favor the lower end by enhancing surface heat loss, while any increase in low-level cloud cover or weak warm advection from the west could hold minima near 15°C. Late-August climatology places typical lows near 14–16°C, so resolution hinges on the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus IMGW observations confirming whether calm, dry conditions or subtle frontal influences prevail overnight. Traders are weighting these physical thresholds heavily ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$36Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts for Warsaw show tight clustering around overnight lows of 13–15°C on August 29, with the near-even market split reflecting model disagreement on radiative cooling efficiency. Clear skies and light winds would favor the lower end by enhancing surface heat loss, while any increase in low-level cloud cover or weak warm advection from the west could hold minima near 15°C. Late-August climatology places typical lows near 14–16°C, so resolution hinges on the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus IMGW observations confirming whether calm, dry conditions or subtle frontal influences prevail overnight. Traders are weighting these physical thresholds heavily ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts for Warsaw show tight clustering around overnight lows of 13–15°C on August 29, with the near-even market split reflecting model disagreement on radiative cooling efficiency. Clear skies and light winds would favor the lower end by enhancing surface heat loss, while any increase in low-level cloud cover or weak warm advection from the west could hold minima near 15°C. Late-August climatology places typical lows near 14–16°C, so resolution hinges on the next ECMWF and GFS runs plus IMGW observations confirming whether calm, dry conditions or subtle frontal influences prevail overnight. Traders are weighting these physical thresholds heavily ahead of final verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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