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icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Massachusetts

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Massachusetts

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Massachusetts

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Massachusetts

Michael Minogue 83%

Brian Shortsleeve 11.1%

Mike Kennealy <1%

Polymarket

$20,992 Vol.

Michael Minogue 83%

Brian Shortsleeve 11.1%

Mike Kennealy <1%

Polymarket

$20,992 Vol.

Michael Minogue

$8,019 Vol.

83%

Brian Shortsleeve

$2,083 Vol.

11%

Mike Kennealy

$10,890 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Massachusetts Republican delegates delivered a decisive endorsement to Michael Minogue at the state party convention in late April, awarding him roughly 70 percent of the vote and the official nomination while Brian Shortsleeve cleared the 15 percent threshold with 15.5 percent and Mike Kennealy fell short at 14.1 percent, removing him from the September 1 primary ballot. Minogue, a political newcomer and former Abiomed executive who self-funded heavily and aligned with national conservative priorities on taxes, energy, and immigration, now enters the primary as the clear party favorite against Shortsleeve, a former MBTA administrator. These convention results, reflecting delegate preferences among the remaining candidates, have shaped the current trader consensus on primary outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,992
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Massachusetts Republican delegates delivered a decisive endorsement to Michael Minogue at the state party convention in late April, awarding him roughly 70 percent of the vote and the official nomination while Brian Shortsleeve cleared the 15 percent threshold with 15.5 percent and Mike Kennealy fell short at 14.1 percent, removing him from the September 1 primary ballot. Minogue, a political newcomer and former Abiomed executive who self-funded heavily and aligned with national conservative priorities on taxes, energy, and immigration, now enters the primary as the clear party favorite against Shortsleeve, a former MBTA administrator. These convention results, reflecting delegate preferences among the remaining candidates, have shaped the current trader consensus on primary outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,992
Data de Término
1 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Massachusetts, scheduled to take place on September 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Massachusetts Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Massachusetts" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Minogue" at 83%, followed by "Brian Shortsleeve" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Massachusetts" has generated $21K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Massachusetts," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Massachusetts" is "Michael Minogue" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brian Shortsleeve" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Massachusetts" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.