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Política·Primárias

Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner
Política·Primárias

Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner

Aaron Guckian 52.6%

Elaine Pelino 24%

Ashley Kalus 5.6%

Robert Raimondo 3.1%

Polymarket

$10,783 Vol.

Aaron Guckian 52.6%

Elaine Pelino 24%

Ashley Kalus 5.6%

Robert Raimondo 3.1%

Polymarket

$10,783 Vol.

Aaron Guckian

$2,413 Vol.

57%

Elaine Pelino

$2,006 Vol.

24%

Ashley Kalus

$2,738 Vol.

6%

Robert Raimondo

$2,164 Vol.

3%

Jessica de la Cruz

$1,463 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Aaron Guckian holds the lead in Rhode Island’s Republican primary for governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, reflecting trader views of his stronger party infrastructure and prior statewide experience as the 2022 lieutenant governor nominee and former Warwick Sewer Authority chair. Elaine Pelino trails despite higher name recognition from her public profile and a recent internal poll showing her ahead; she has publicly challenged Guckian to debates. Robert Raimondo, a businessman and relative of former Democratic governor Gina Raimondo, along with lower-polling options Ashley Kalus and Jessica de la Cruz, register limited support. The market’s pricing highlights Guckian’s perceived edge in fundraising and organization ahead of the primary, with limited public polling available to shift sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$10,783
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Aaron Guckian holds the lead in Rhode Island’s Republican primary for governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, reflecting trader views of his stronger party infrastructure and prior statewide experience as the 2022 lieutenant governor nominee and former Warwick Sewer Authority chair. Elaine Pelino trails despite higher name recognition from her public profile and a recent internal poll showing her ahead; she has publicly challenged Guckian to debates. Robert Raimondo, a businessman and relative of former Democratic governor Gina Raimondo, along with lower-polling options Ashley Kalus and Jessica de la Cruz, register limited support. The market’s pricing highlights Guckian’s perceived edge in fundraising and organization ahead of the primary, with limited public polling available to shift sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$10,783
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Guckian" at 57%, followed by "Elaine Pelino" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Aaron Guckian" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Elaine Pelino" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.