Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, where the seat’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles anchor trader consensus. McClain’s unopposed August 4 primary victory and substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Ray Pooley reinforce expectations of another comfortable general-election win on November 3. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout in suburban pockets could narrow the margin, though the district’s rural and exurban composition across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties limits the scope for such shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMI-09 House Election Winner
MI-09 House Election Winner
$24,277 Vol.
$24,277 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$24,277 Vol.
$24,277 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$17,710 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$6,567 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, where the seat’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles anchor trader consensus. McClain’s unopposed August 4 primary victory and substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Ray Pooley reinforce expectations of another comfortable general-election win on November 3. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout in suburban pockets could narrow the margin, though the district’s rural and exurban composition across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties limits the scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,277Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, where the seat’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles anchor trader consensus. McClain’s unopposed August 4 primary victory and substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Ray Pooley reinforce expectations of another comfortable general-election win on November 3. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout in suburban pockets could narrow the margin, though the district’s rural and exurban composition across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties limits the scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,277Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 9th congressional district, where the seat’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican margins above 30 points in recent cycles anchor trader consensus. McClain’s unopposed August 4 primary victory and substantial fundraising advantage over Democratic nominee Ray Pooley reinforce expectations of another comfortable general-election win on November 3. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A national Democratic surge, late-breaking scandal affecting the incumbent, or unexpectedly high opposition turnout in suburban pockets could narrow the margin, though the district’s rural and exurban composition across Huron, Lapeer, St. Clair, and portions of Macomb and Oakland counties limits the scope for such shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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