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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Michigan

icon for Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Michigan
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Michigan

Jocelyn Benson 95.5%

Chris Swanson 2.8%

Garlin Gilchrist <1%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$12,690 Vol.

Jocelyn Benson 95.5%

Chris Swanson 2.8%

Garlin Gilchrist <1%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$12,690 Vol.

Jocelyn Benson

$8,440 Vol.

96%

Chris Swanson

$1,511 Vol.

3%

Garlin Gilchrist

$1,564 Vol.

1%

Marni Sawicki

$1,175 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jocelyn Benson maintains a commanding position in the Michigan Democratic primary for governor, reflecting her established profile as the state's Secretary of State, sustained polling leads of 52 to 66 percent in recent surveys, and strong fundraising momentum ahead of the August 4 primary. The recent withdrawal of Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist from contention has further consolidated support by removing a potential rival from the field. Other declared candidates, including Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson, trail significantly with limited visibility and resources. Trader consensus assigns her a high probability of securing the nomination, though late developments such as unexpected personal events or shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,690
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Jocelyn Benson maintains a commanding position in the Michigan Democratic primary for governor, reflecting her established profile as the state's Secretary of State, sustained polling leads of 52 to 66 percent in recent surveys, and strong fundraising momentum ahead of the August 4 primary. The recent withdrawal of Lieutenant Governor Garlin Gilchrist from contention has further consolidated support by removing a potential rival from the field. Other declared candidates, including Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson, trail significantly with limited visibility and resources. Trader consensus assigns her a high probability of securing the nomination, though late developments such as unexpected personal events or shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,690
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Michigan" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jocelyn Benson" at 96%, followed by "Chris Swanson" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Michigan" has generated $12.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Michigan," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Michigan" is "Jocelyn Benson" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chris Swanson" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias democratas do governador de Michigan" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.