Adam Hamilton leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the Kansas Democratic Senate primary on August 4, 2026, following his late-April announcement as a centrist Democrat and founding pastor of the nation's largest United Methodist church in Leawood. His campaign raised over $1 million in its first week, signaling strong early fundraising and name recognition in a crowded, low-turnout primary field. Secondary contenders like Sandy Spidel Neumann (4.7%) and Patrick Schmidt (3.6%) trail amid limited visibility, with no recent polling or endorsements shifting dynamics. Hamilton's op-ed last week emphasized listening tours across Kansas, reinforcing his bridge-building appeal, though the field remains fluid ahead of summer filing deadlines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAdam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.7%
Patrick Schmidt 3.6%
Sharice Davids 1.4%
$128,722 Vol.
$128,722 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
5%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Christy Davis
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Adam Hamilton 87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.7%
Patrick Schmidt 3.6%
Sharice Davids 1.4%
$128,722 Vol.
$128,722 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
5%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sharice Davids
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Erik Murray
<1%
Damon Anderson
<1%
Christy Davis
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton leads trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the Kansas Democratic Senate primary on August 4, 2026, following his late-April announcement as a centrist Democrat and founding pastor of the nation's largest United Methodist church in Leawood. His campaign raised over $1 million in its first week, signaling strong early fundraising and name recognition in a crowded, low-turnout primary field. Secondary contenders like Sandy Spidel Neumann (4.7%) and Patrick Schmidt (3.6%) trail amid limited visibility, with no recent polling or endorsements shifting dynamics. Hamilton's op-ed last week emphasized listening tours across Kansas, reinforcing his bridge-building appeal, though the field remains fluid ahead of summer filing deadlines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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