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icon for Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: Vencedor do Condado de Oakland
Política·MIDTERMS

Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: Vencedor do Condado de Oakland

icon for Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: Vencedor do Condado de Oakland
Política·MIDTERMS

Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: Vencedor do Condado de Oakland

Polymarket
NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Mike Rogers (R)

Mike Rogers (R)

$300 Vol.

9%

icon for Abdul El-Sayed (D)

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

$201 Vol.

54%

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.The Michigan U.S. Senate race between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers remains highly competitive heading into the November general election, with Oakland County emerging as a pivotal suburban battleground. Recent primary results showed El-Sayed prevailing narrowly statewide after a tight contest with Haley Stevens, who carried Oakland by a modest margin, while Rogers faced no primary opposition. Current polling averages indicate a near tie or slight El-Sayed edge statewide, reflecting divided voter preferences on economic issues, healthcare, and the open seat dynamics following Gary Peters’ retirement. Trader consensus around 47-50% probabilities for leading contenders captures uncertainty over turnout among independents and suburban moderates in this county. Upcoming debates, fundraising momentum, and any shifts in national political environment could widen gaps by influencing swing voter blocs.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Volume
$501
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.The Michigan U.S. Senate race between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers remains highly competitive heading into the November general election, with Oakland County emerging as a pivotal suburban battleground. Recent primary results showed El-Sayed prevailing narrowly statewide after a tight contest with Haley Stevens, who carried Oakland by a modest margin, while Rogers faced no primary opposition. Current polling averages indicate a near tie or slight El-Sayed edge statewide, reflecting divided voter preferences on economic issues, healthcare, and the open seat dynamics following Gary Peters’ retirement. Trader consensus around 47-50% probabilities for leading contenders captures uncertainty over turnout among independents and suburban moderates in this county. Upcoming debates, fundraising momentum, and any shifts in national political environment could widen gaps by influencing swing voter blocs.

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Volume
$501
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: Vencedor do Condado de Oakland" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Abdul El-Sayed (D)" at 55%, followed by "Mike Rogers (R)" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: Vencedor do Condado de Oakland" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: Vencedor do Condado de Oakland," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: Vencedor do Condado de Oakland" is "Abdul El-Sayed (D)" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Rogers (R)" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado de Michigan: Vencedor do Condado de Oakland" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.