The Michigan U.S. Senate race remains a toss-up heading into November, with recent statewide polls showing Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Republican Mike Rogers. Genesee County, a Democratic-leaning area anchored by Flint, features competitive voter blocs where turnout among younger voters, union households, and Black communities could determine the local margin. El-Sayed’s primary win consolidated progressive support after a divisive contest, while Rogers benefits from name recognition and stronger performance among independents and White voters in suburban and rural pockets. Limited county-specific polling and shifting national dynamics keep trader probabilities tightly clustered near 50 percent across outcomes. Key catalysts that could widen gaps include upcoming debates, fall advertising on issues such as healthcare and the economy, and final voter mobilization efforts through early voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Mike Rogers (R)
44%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
56%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Mike Rogers (R)
$30 Vol.
44%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$122 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.The Michigan U.S. Senate race remains a toss-up heading into November, with recent statewide polls showing Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Republican Mike Rogers. Genesee County, a Democratic-leaning area anchored by Flint, features competitive voter blocs where turnout among younger voters, union households, and Black communities could determine the local margin. El-Sayed’s primary win consolidated progressive support after a divisive contest, while Rogers benefits from name recognition and stronger performance among independents and White voters in suburban and rural pockets. Limited county-specific polling and shifting national dynamics keep trader probabilities tightly clustered near 50 percent across outcomes. Key catalysts that could widen gaps include upcoming debates, fall advertising on issues such as healthcare and the economy, and final voter mobilization efforts through early voting.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$152Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.The Michigan U.S. Senate race remains a toss-up heading into November, with recent statewide polls showing Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Republican Mike Rogers. Genesee County, a Democratic-leaning area anchored by Flint, features competitive voter blocs where turnout among younger voters, union households, and Black communities could determine the local margin. El-Sayed’s primary win consolidated progressive support after a divisive contest, while Rogers benefits from name recognition and stronger performance among independents and White voters in suburban and rural pockets. Limited county-specific polling and shifting national dynamics keep trader probabilities tightly clustered near 50 percent across outcomes. Key catalysts that could widen gaps include upcoming debates, fall advertising on issues such as healthcare and the economy, and final voter mobilization efforts through early voting.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
Volume
$152Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Michigan U.S. Senate race remains a toss-up heading into November, with recent statewide polls showing Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding narrow leads or statistical ties against Republican Mike Rogers. Genesee County, a Democratic-leaning area anchored by Flint, features competitive voter blocs where turnout among younger voters, union households, and Black communities could determine the local margin. El-Sayed’s primary win consolidated progressive support after a divisive contest, while Rogers benefits from name recognition and stronger performance among independents and White voters in suburban and rural pockets. Limited county-specific polling and shifting national dynamics keep trader probabilities tightly clustered near 50 percent across outcomes. Key catalysts that could widen gaps include upcoming debates, fall advertising on issues such as healthcare and the economy, and final voter mobilization efforts through early voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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