Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong statewide popularity and repeated large-margin victories, including a 73% win in his most recent reelection, anchor trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. Scott advanced easily from the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Amanda Janoo secured her party's nomination over Aly Richards. University of New Hampshire polling from June and July showed Scott leading Janoo by double digits amid substantial undecided voters, consistent with his ability to draw support across Vermont's electorate despite the state's Democratic lean. These factors, combined with limited time before Election Day for challengers to close gaps, underpin the market's 87.5% Republican pricing as the current trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$48,497 Vol.
$48,497 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
88%
Democrata
13%
$48,497 Vol.
$48,497 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republicano
$21,124 Vol.
88%
Democrata
$27,373 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong statewide popularity and repeated large-margin victories, including a 73% win in his most recent reelection, anchor trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. Scott advanced easily from the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Amanda Janoo secured her party's nomination over Aly Richards. University of New Hampshire polling from June and July showed Scott leading Janoo by double digits amid substantial undecided voters, consistent with his ability to draw support across Vermont's electorate despite the state's Democratic lean. These factors, combined with limited time before Election Day for challengers to close gaps, underpin the market's 87.5% Republican pricing as the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$48,497Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong statewide popularity and repeated large-margin victories, including a 73% win in his most recent reelection, anchor trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. Scott advanced easily from the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Amanda Janoo secured her party's nomination over Aly Richards. University of New Hampshire polling from June and July showed Scott leading Janoo by double digits amid substantial undecided voters, consistent with his ability to draw support across Vermont's electorate despite the state's Democratic lean. These factors, combined with limited time before Election Day for challengers to close gaps, underpin the market's 87.5% Republican pricing as the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$48,497Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong statewide popularity and repeated large-margin victories, including a 73% win in his most recent reelection, anchor trader expectations for a Republican victory in the November 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. Scott advanced easily from the August 11 Republican primary, while Democrat Amanda Janoo secured her party's nomination over Aly Richards. University of New Hampshire polling from June and July showed Scott leading Janoo by double digits amid substantial undecided voters, consistent with his ability to draw support across Vermont's electorate despite the state's Democratic lean. These factors, combined with limited time before Election Day for challengers to close gaps, underpin the market's 87.5% Republican pricing as the current trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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