New Jersey’s 12th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman. Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded June 2026 primary, while Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s D+27 partisan lean and Kamala Harris’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024. The Republican nominee has reported limited fundraising and faces structural disadvantages in a district where Democrats hold a substantial registration and historical performance edge. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NJ-12
Vencedor da eleição da casa NJ-12
$22,311 Vol.
$22,311 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$22,311 Vol.
$22,311 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$14,221 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$8,089 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 12th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman. Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded June 2026 primary, while Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s D+27 partisan lean and Kamala Harris’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024. The Republican nominee has reported limited fundraising and faces structural disadvantages in a district where Democrats hold a substantial registration and historical performance edge. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$22,311Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 12th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman. Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded June 2026 primary, while Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s D+27 partisan lean and Kamala Harris’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024. The Republican nominee has reported limited fundraising and faces structural disadvantages in a district where Democrats hold a substantial registration and historical performance edge. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$22,311Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 12th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Bonnie Watson Coleman. Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination in a crowded June 2026 primary, while Republican Gregg Mele advanced unopposed. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the November general election as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s D+27 partisan lean and Kamala Harris’s 14.5-point margin there in 2024. The Republican nominee has reported limited fundraising and faces structural disadvantages in a district where Democrats hold a substantial registration and historical performance edge. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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