The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 7th congressional district, an open seat following Nydia Velázquez's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. Claire Valdez secured the June 2026 primary with 55.9% of the vote after consolidating support from progressive and union backers, positioning her against a Republican opponent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Historical margins exceeding 70% for Democrats, combined with limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the Queens-Brooklyn area, reinforce the current implied probability. A late scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, an unforeseen national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, or significant redistricting shifts could introduce volatility, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Câmara de NY-07
Vencedor da eleição da Câmara de NY-07
$29,856 Vol.
$29,856 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$29,856 Vol.
$29,856 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$15,452 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$14,404 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 7th congressional district, an open seat following Nydia Velázquez's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. Claire Valdez secured the June 2026 primary with 55.9% of the vote after consolidating support from progressive and union backers, positioning her against a Republican opponent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Historical margins exceeding 70% for Democrats, combined with limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the Queens-Brooklyn area, reinforce the current implied probability. A late scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, an unforeseen national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, or significant redistricting shifts could introduce volatility, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$29,856Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 7th congressional district, an open seat following Nydia Velázquez's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. Claire Valdez secured the June 2026 primary with 55.9% of the vote after consolidating support from progressive and union backers, positioning her against a Republican opponent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Historical margins exceeding 70% for Democrats, combined with limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the Queens-Brooklyn area, reinforce the current implied probability. A late scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, an unforeseen national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, or significant redistricting shifts could introduce volatility, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,856Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of New York's 7th congressional district, an open seat following Nydia Velázquez's retirement, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. Claire Valdez secured the June 2026 primary with 55.9% of the vote after consolidating support from progressive and union backers, positioning her against a Republican opponent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Historical margins exceeding 70% for Democrats, combined with limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the Queens-Brooklyn area, reinforce the current implied probability. A late scandal affecting the Democratic candidate, an unforeseen national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, or significant redistricting shifts could introduce volatility, though such developments remain low-probability based on available indicators.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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