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icon for Prefeito de Nova York # posts 15 de maio a 22 de maio de 2026?

Prefeito de Nova York # posts 15 de maio a 22 de maio de 2026?

icon for Prefeito de Nova York # posts 15 de maio a 22 de maio de 2026?

Prefeito de Nova York # posts 15 de maio a 22 de maio de 2026?

20-39 90.8%

<20 17.3%

40-59 15.4%

80-99 4.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

20-39 90.8%

<20 17.3%

40-59 15.4%

80-99 4.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

<20

$105 Vol.

18%

20-39

$158 Vol.

91%

40-59

$121 Vol.

15%

60-79

$190 Vol.

4%

80-99

$220 Vol.

5%

100-119

$216 Vol.

1%

120-139

$194 Vol.

4%

140-159

$221 Vol.

3%

160-179

$337 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$447 Vol.

<1%

200+

$894 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who assumed office in January 2026, has followed a steady pattern of X activity focused on policy rollouts and constituent updates. Recent announcements on the FY2027 executive budget and SPEED housing reforms in the days leading into May 15 have aligned with moderate daily posting volumes that historically cluster in the low-to-mid 20s for a full week. Traders see this consistency as the primary driver behind the strong positioning for the 20-39 range. A sudden escalation in breaking city news, multiple simultaneous press events, or an unexpected diplomatic development could increase output enough to push totals higher, while an unusually quiet stretch with minimal new initiatives might keep counts near the lower end of the favored band.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,102
Data de Término
22 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, who assumed office in January 2026, has followed a steady pattern of X activity focused on policy rollouts and constituent updates. Recent announcements on the FY2027 executive budget and SPEED housing reforms in the days leading into May 15 have aligned with moderate daily posting volumes that historically cluster in the low-to-mid 20s for a full week. Traders see this consistency as the primary driver behind the strong positioning for the 20-39 range. A sudden escalation in breaking city news, multiple simultaneous press events, or an unexpected diplomatic development could increase output enough to push totals higher, while an unusually quiet stretch with minimal new initiatives might keep counts near the lower end of the favored band.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,102
Data de Término
22 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Prefeito de Nova York # posts 15 de maio a 22 de maio de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 91%, followed by "<20" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Prefeito de Nova York # posts 15 de maio a 22 de maio de 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Prefeito de Nova York # posts 15 de maio a 22 de maio de 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Prefeito de Nova York # posts 15 de maio a 22 de maio de 2026?" is "20-39" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Prefeito de Nova York # posts 15 de maio a 22 de maio de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.