Skip to main content
icon for Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?

Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?

icon for Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?

Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?

Sim

5% chance
Polymarket

$145,320 Vol.

Sim

5% chance
Polymarket

$145,320 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth continues to serve as Secretary of Defense amid ongoing congressional oversight of the Pentagon's 2027 budget request and U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict. He testified before House and Senate panels in mid-May 2026 on budget priorities and ceasefire developments, with no subsequent announcements or actions from the White House indicating plans for removal. Senate Republicans have not advanced confirmation holds or replacement discussions in recent weeks, and the administration has maintained focus on defense policy execution rather than personnel shifts. These factors underpin the 95% trader consensus against departure by June 30, reflecting the absence of immediate catalysts that historically prompt cabinet-level exits.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$145,320
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Hegseth continues to serve as Secretary of Defense amid ongoing congressional oversight of the Pentagon's 2027 budget request and U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict. He testified before House and Senate panels in mid-May 2026 on budget priorities and ceasefire developments, with no subsequent announcements or actions from the White House indicating plans for removal. Senate Republicans have not advanced confirmation holds or replacement discussions in recent weeks, and the administration has maintained focus on defense policy execution rather than personnel shifts. These factors underpin the 95% trader consensus against departure by June 30, reflecting the absence of immediate catalysts that historically prompt cabinet-level exits.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$145,320
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Hegseth fora como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 5¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 5% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?" has generated $145.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?" is "Pete Hegseth fora como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?" at just 5%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Pete Hegseth sai como Secretário de Defesa até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.