Recent polling in Saxony-Anhalt shows the Alternative for Germany (AfD) reaching a record 41 percent support ahead of the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, well ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent, with the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), and the Greens each near or below 7 percent. This sustained lead in eastern Germany, where the AfD has built consistent strength, underpins trader consensus that the party is positioned to finish first. Smaller parties hovering close to the five-percent threshold could affect seat distribution and coalition options if they qualify or fall short. Late shifts in turnout or campaign events remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor das eleições parlamentares de Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 94%
CDU 5.8%
BSW <1%
FDP <1%
$703,167 Vol.
$703,167 Vol.

AfD
94%

CDU
6%

BSW
1%

FDP
<1%

Os Verdes
<1%

A Esquerda
<1%

SPD
<1%
AfD 94%
CDU 5.8%
BSW <1%
FDP <1%
$703,167 Vol.
$703,167 Vol.

AfD
94%

CDU
6%

BSW
1%

FDP
<1%

Os Verdes
<1%

A Esquerda
<1%

SPD
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercado Aberto: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Saxony-Anhalt shows the Alternative for Germany (AfD) reaching a record 41 percent support ahead of the September 6, 2026 Landtag election, well ahead of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) at 26 percent and Die Linke at 12 percent, with the Social Democratic Party (SPD), Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW), and the Greens each near or below 7 percent. This sustained lead in eastern Germany, where the AfD has built consistent strength, underpins trader consensus that the party is positioned to finish first. Smaller parties hovering close to the five-percent threshold could affect seat distribution and coalition options if they qualify or fall short. Late shifts in turnout or campaign events remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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