South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic-leaning seat held by long-serving incumbent Jim Clyburn, yet trader consensus currently favors the Republican nominee. Recent legislative discussions around mid-cycle redistricting have emerged as the dominant factor, with state lawmakers considering map changes that could alter the district's boundaries before the November 2026 general election. These developments, occurring outside the standard post-census cycle, introduce uncertainty around voter composition and could shift the partisan balance. Primary elections scheduled for June 9 further shape positioning, as candidates in both parties prepare for a potentially reconfigured race. The implied probabilities reflect the market's assessment of redistricting risks outweighing the incumbent's historical strength in the current district lines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSC-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
SC-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$15,928 Vol.
$15,928 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
68%
Partido Democrata
27%
$15,928 Vol.
$15,928 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,915 Vol.
68%
Partido Democrata
$7,013 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic-leaning seat held by long-serving incumbent Jim Clyburn, yet trader consensus currently favors the Republican nominee. Recent legislative discussions around mid-cycle redistricting have emerged as the dominant factor, with state lawmakers considering map changes that could alter the district's boundaries before the November 2026 general election. These developments, occurring outside the standard post-census cycle, introduce uncertainty around voter composition and could shift the partisan balance. Primary elections scheduled for June 9 further shape positioning, as candidates in both parties prepare for a potentially reconfigured race. The implied probabilities reflect the market's assessment of redistricting risks outweighing the incumbent's historical strength in the current district lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$15,928Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic-leaning seat held by long-serving incumbent Jim Clyburn, yet trader consensus currently favors the Republican nominee. Recent legislative discussions around mid-cycle redistricting have emerged as the dominant factor, with state lawmakers considering map changes that could alter the district's boundaries before the November 2026 general election. These developments, occurring outside the standard post-census cycle, introduce uncertainty around voter composition and could shift the partisan balance. Primary elections scheduled for June 9 further shape positioning, as candidates in both parties prepare for a potentially reconfigured race. The implied probabilities reflect the market's assessment of redistricting risks outweighing the incumbent's historical strength in the current district lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,928Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 6th congressional district remains a heavily Democratic-leaning seat held by long-serving incumbent Jim Clyburn, yet trader consensus currently favors the Republican nominee. Recent legislative discussions around mid-cycle redistricting have emerged as the dominant factor, with state lawmakers considering map changes that could alter the district's boundaries before the November 2026 general election. These developments, occurring outside the standard post-census cycle, introduce uncertainty around voter composition and could shift the partisan balance. Primary elections scheduled for June 9 further shape positioning, as candidates in both parties prepare for a potentially reconfigured race. The implied probabilities reflect the market's assessment of redistricting risks outweighing the incumbent's historical strength in the current district lines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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