Standard Nuclear’s imminent IPO, with pricing expected around mid-July 2026 in the $18–$21 range, represents the dominant driver of market-implied odds. This filing targets proceeds of up to $383 million and implies a post-IPO market cap near $3.3–$3.55 billion, a sharp step-up from the $838 million private valuation set in January 2026. Traders weigh strong sector tailwinds from AI-driven electricity demand against the company’s early-stage profile—minimal revenue of roughly $594,000 in Q1 2026 and ongoing losses—plus execution risks in a regulated nuclear fuel market. The even distribution across market-cap buckets and the no-IPO-before-September outcome underscores uncertainty over final pricing, share allocation, and potential last-minute delays ahead of the NYSE listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<US$3B 50%
US$ 3B-US$ 3,5B 50%
US$ 3,5B–US$ 4B 50%
US$4B–US$4,5B 50%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jul 2026
<US$3B
50%
US$ 3B-US$ 3,5B
50%
US$ 3,5B–US$ 4B
50%
US$4B–US$4,5B
50%
US$ 4,5B–US$ 5B
50%
>US$5B
50%
Sem IPO antes de setembro de 2026
50%
<US$3B 50%
US$ 3B-US$ 3,5B 50%
US$ 3,5B–US$ 4B 50%
US$4B–US$4,5B 50%
NOVO
NOVO
16 jul 2026
<US$3B
$0 Vol.
50%
US$ 3B-US$ 3,5B
$0 Vol.
50%
US$ 3,5B–US$ 4B
$0 Vol.
50%
US$4B–US$4,5B
$0 Vol.
50%
US$ 4,5B–US$ 5B
$0 Vol.
50%
>US$5B
$0 Vol.
50%
Sem IPO antes de setembro de 2026
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve based on Standard Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Standard Nuclear’s imminent IPO, with pricing expected around mid-July 2026 in the $18–$21 range, represents the dominant driver of market-implied odds. This filing targets proceeds of up to $383 million and implies a post-IPO market cap near $3.3–$3.55 billion, a sharp step-up from the $838 million private valuation set in January 2026. Traders weigh strong sector tailwinds from AI-driven electricity demand against the company’s early-stage profile—minimal revenue of roughly $594,000 in Q1 2026 and ongoing losses—plus execution risks in a regulated nuclear fuel market. The even distribution across market-cap buckets and the no-IPO-before-September outcome underscores uncertainty over final pricing, share allocation, and potential last-minute delays ahead of the NYSE listing.
This market will resolve based on Standard Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 13, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
16 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Standard Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Standard Nuclear’s imminent IPO, with pricing expected around mid-July 2026 in the $18–$21 range, represents the dominant driver of market-implied odds. This filing targets proceeds of up to $383 million and implies a post-IPO market cap near $3.3–$3.55 billion, a sharp step-up from the $838 million private valuation set in January 2026. Traders weigh strong sector tailwinds from AI-driven electricity demand against the company’s early-stage profile—minimal revenue of roughly $594,000 in Q1 2026 and ongoing losses—plus execution risks in a regulated nuclear fuel market. The even distribution across market-cap buckets and the no-IPO-before-September outcome underscores uncertainty over final pricing, share allocation, and potential last-minute delays ahead of the NYSE listing.
This market will resolve based on Standard Nuclear's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$0Data de Término
16 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 13, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Standard Nuclear’s imminent IPO, with pricing expected around mid-July 2026 in the $18–$21 range, represents the dominant driver of market-implied odds. This filing targets proceeds of up to $383 million and implies a post-IPO market cap near $3.3–$3.55 billion, a sharp step-up from the $838 million private valuation set in January 2026. Traders weigh strong sector tailwinds from AI-driven electricity demand against the company’s early-stage profile—minimal revenue of roughly $594,000 in Q1 2026 and ongoing losses—plus execution risks in a regulated nuclear fuel market. The even distribution across market-cap buckets and the no-IPO-before-September outcome underscores uncertainty over final pricing, share allocation, and potential last-minute delays ahead of the NYSE listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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