Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States, the Quad countries, and the United Nations continue to press for an immediate humanitarian truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces, yet no cessation of hostilities has materialized despite repeated calls in April and May 2026. Recent developments include U.S. statements urging a three-month truce without preconditions and an African Commission declaration on May 12 emphasizing monitored de-escalation, while drone strikes have intensified civilian casualties. Foreign backers and entrenched military positions remain key barriers to talks, with conferences in Berlin and Kenya producing pledges but little concrete progress toward a verified ceasefire. Scheduled diplomatic engagements in the coming weeks could influence momentum if parties agree to monitored negotiations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCessar-fogo da guerra civil do Sudão até...?
Cessar-fogo da guerra civil do Sudão até...?
$92,664 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junho de 2026
13%
31 de dezembro de 2026
19%
$92,664 Vol.
30 de junho de 2026
$33,225 Vol.
13%
31 de dezembro de 2026
$291 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States, the Quad countries, and the United Nations continue to press for an immediate humanitarian truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces, yet no cessation of hostilities has materialized despite repeated calls in April and May 2026. Recent developments include U.S. statements urging a three-month truce without preconditions and an African Commission declaration on May 12 emphasizing monitored de-escalation, while drone strikes have intensified civilian casualties. Foreign backers and entrenched military positions remain key barriers to talks, with conferences in Berlin and Kenya producing pledges but little concrete progress toward a verified ceasefire. Scheduled diplomatic engagements in the coming weeks could influence momentum if parties agree to monitored negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Volume
$92,664Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States, the Quad countries, and the United Nations continue to press for an immediate humanitarian truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces, yet no cessation of hostilities has materialized despite repeated calls in April and May 2026. Recent developments include U.S. statements urging a three-month truce without preconditions and an African Commission declaration on May 12 emphasizing monitored de-escalation, while drone strikes have intensified civilian casualties. Foreign backers and entrenched military positions remain key barriers to talks, with conferences in Berlin and Kenya producing pledges but little concrete progress toward a verified ceasefire. Scheduled diplomatic engagements in the coming weeks could influence momentum if parties agree to monitored negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$92,664Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic initiatives led by the United States, the Quad countries, and the United Nations continue to press for an immediate humanitarian truce in Sudan’s civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces, yet no cessation of hostilities has materialized despite repeated calls in April and May 2026. Recent developments include U.S. statements urging a three-month truce without preconditions and an African Commission declaration on May 12 emphasizing monitored de-escalation, while drone strikes have intensified civilian casualties. Foreign backers and entrenched military positions remain key barriers to talks, with conferences in Berlin and Kenya producing pledges but little concrete progress toward a verified ceasefire. Scheduled diplomatic engagements in the coming weeks could influence momentum if parties agree to monitored negotiations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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