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Vencedor da primária republicana UT-03

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana UT-03

Vencedor da primária republicana UT-03

NOVO
Polymarket
NOVO

Celeste Maloy

$0 Vol.

75%

Phil Lyman

$2 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Celeste Maloy holds a clear lead in the June 23 Republican primary for Utah’s newly redrawn 3rd Congressional District, while Phil Lyman trails as the main challenger.** The district’s court-ordered boundaries, stretching from northern counties like Morgan and Summit south to the Arizona border, create a more rural and conservative electorate than Maloy’s prior seat. At the April Utah GOP convention, delegates split narrowly (Maloy 51%-49%), sending both candidates to the primary after neither reached the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. Maloy benefits from incumbency, broader name recognition, and positioning as a pragmatic problem-solver, while Lyman appeals to voters seeking a stronger conservative disruptor on issues like public lands, water, and government accountability. A June 1 debate highlighted their agreement on many core issues but underscored stylistic differences. With the primary just days away, trader consensus reflects Maloy’s structural advantages and recent momentum, though Lyman retains an outside path in a low-turnout contest. Other listed candidates face significant barriers to ballot access or visibility.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2
Data de Término
24 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Celeste Maloy holds a clear lead in the June 23 Republican primary for Utah’s newly redrawn 3rd Congressional District, while Phil Lyman trails as the main challenger.** The district’s court-ordered boundaries, stretching from northern counties like Morgan and Summit south to the Arizona border, create a more rural and conservative electorate than Maloy’s prior seat. At the April Utah GOP convention, delegates split narrowly (Maloy 51%-49%), sending both candidates to the primary after neither reached the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. Maloy benefits from incumbency, broader name recognition, and positioning as a pragmatic problem-solver, while Lyman appeals to voters seeking a stronger conservative disruptor on issues like public lands, water, and government accountability. A June 1 debate highlighted their agreement on many core issues but underscored stylistic differences. With the primary just days away, trader consensus reflects Maloy’s structural advantages and recent momentum, though Lyman retains an outside path in a low-turnout contest. Other listed candidates face significant barriers to ballot access or visibility.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$2
Data de Término
24 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana UT-03 " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Celeste Maloy" at 75%, followed by "Phil Lyman" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da primária republicana UT-03 " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana UT-03 ," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana UT-03 " is "Celeste Maloy" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Phil Lyman" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana UT-03 " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.