**Celeste Maloy holds a clear lead in the June 23 Republican primary for Utah’s newly redrawn 3rd Congressional District, while Phil Lyman trails as the main challenger.** The district’s court-ordered boundaries, stretching from northern counties like Morgan and Summit south to the Arizona border, create a more rural and conservative electorate than Maloy’s prior seat. At the April Utah GOP convention, delegates split narrowly (Maloy 51%-49%), sending both candidates to the primary after neither reached the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. Maloy benefits from incumbency, broader name recognition, and positioning as a pragmatic problem-solver, while Lyman appeals to voters seeking a stronger conservative disruptor on issues like public lands, water, and government accountability. A June 1 debate highlighted their agreement on many core issues but underscored stylistic differences. With the primary just days away, trader consensus reflects Maloy’s structural advantages and recent momentum, though Lyman retains an outside path in a low-turnout contest. Other listed candidates face significant barriers to ballot access or visibility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da primária republicana UT-03
Celeste Maloy
75%
Phil Lyman
23%
Celeste Maloy
75%
Phil Lyman
23%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Celeste Maloy holds a clear lead in the June 23 Republican primary for Utah’s newly redrawn 3rd Congressional District, while Phil Lyman trails as the main challenger.** The district’s court-ordered boundaries, stretching from northern counties like Morgan and Summit south to the Arizona border, create a more rural and conservative electorate than Maloy’s prior seat. At the April Utah GOP convention, delegates split narrowly (Maloy 51%-49%), sending both candidates to the primary after neither reached the 60% threshold for automatic nomination. Maloy benefits from incumbency, broader name recognition, and positioning as a pragmatic problem-solver, while Lyman appeals to voters seeking a stronger conservative disruptor on issues like public lands, water, and government accountability. A June 1 debate highlighted their agreement on many core issues but underscored stylistic differences. With the primary just days away, trader consensus reflects Maloy’s structural advantages and recent momentum, though Lyman retains an outside path in a low-turnout contest. Other listed candidates face significant barriers to ballot access or visibility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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