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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Maryland

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Maryland
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Maryland

Dan Cox 57%

Ed Hale 34.3%

Larry Hogan 3.4%

John Myrick 2.7%

Polymarket

$545,700 Vol.

Dan Cox 57%

Ed Hale 34.3%

Larry Hogan 3.4%

John Myrick 2.7%

Polymarket

$545,700 Vol.

Dan Cox

$95,348 Vol.

57%

Ed Hale

$14,262 Vol.

34%

Larry Hogan

$47,603 Vol.

3%

John Myrick

$3,883 Vol.

3%

Steve Hershey

$345,793 Vol.

2%

Christopher Bouchat

$36,467 Vol.

<1%

Carl Brunner

$1,146 Vol.

<1%

Kurt Wedekind

$1,198 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Dan Cox leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability to win Maryland's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 23**, buoyed by name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee—who secured the nomination with Trump backing—and enduring appeal to the party's conservative base amid dissatisfaction with Democratic Gov. Wes Moore's policies on taxes and the economy. Self-funded businessman Ed Hale follows at 34%, leveraging his outsider credentials and focus on job creation, while former Gov. Larry Hogan trails at 3.6% despite past speculation of a return, as he has not filed. Both Cox and Hale skipped the first primary debate in late March, a strategic move signaling internal polling strength in the crowded field. With early voting from June 11, endorsements or turnout among key GOP voting blocs could tip the balance in this competitive matchup.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$545,700
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Dan Cox leads trader consensus at 57.5% implied probability to win Maryland's Republican gubernatorial primary on June 23**, buoyed by name recognition as the 2022 GOP nominee—who secured the nomination with Trump backing—and enduring appeal to the party's conservative base amid dissatisfaction with Democratic Gov. Wes Moore's policies on taxes and the economy. Self-funded businessman Ed Hale follows at 34%, leveraging his outsider credentials and focus on job creation, while former Gov. Larry Hogan trails at 3.6% despite past speculation of a return, as he has not filed. Both Cox and Hale skipped the first primary debate in late March, a strategic move signaling internal polling strength in the crowded field. With early voting from June 11, endorsements or turnout among key GOP voting blocs could tip the balance in this competitive matchup.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$545,700
Data de Término
23 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Maryland" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dan Cox" at 57%, followed by "Ed Hale" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Maryland" has generated $545.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Maryland," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Maryland" is "Dan Cox" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ed Hale" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana do governador de Maryland" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.