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Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

icon for Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota
Política·Primárias

Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota

Michele Tafoya 78%

Adam Schwarze 14.0%

Mike Ruoho 2.5%

Jim Nash 1.4%

Polymarket

$83,041 Vol.

Michele Tafoya 78%

Adam Schwarze 14.0%

Mike Ruoho 2.5%

Jim Nash 1.4%

Polymarket

$83,041 Vol.

Michele Tafoya

$3,975 Vol.

78%

Adam Schwarze

$5,223 Vol.

14%

Mike Ruoho

$1,205 Vol.

3%

Jim Nash

$2,555 Vol.

1%

Royce White

$31,685 Vol.

1%

Alycia Gruenhagen

$4,853 Vol.

1%

Julia Coleman

$4,528 Vol.

<1%

David Hann

$22,148 Vol.

<1%

Christopher Brooks

$1,433 Vol.

<1%

Tom Weiler

$1,999 Vol.

<1%

Kristin Robbins

$2,156 Vol.

<1%

Raymond Petersen

$1,284 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michele Tafoya holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota Republican Senate primary due to early national party support, including an endorsement from NRSC Chairman Sen. Tim Scott, and dominant fundraising that reached $2.04 million in the first quarter of 2026—more than all other candidates combined. A February poll of likely Republican primary voters showed her ahead across every congressional district, reflecting her high name recognition from her background as a longtime sports broadcaster. Adam Schwarze, a former Navy SEAL, remains the clearest alternative but trails substantially amid a fragmented field that includes Royce White, Tom Weiler, and several lower-profile contenders. Recent reporting notes internal state party divisions over the national committee’s early involvement, yet these tensions have not shifted the primary dynamics ahead of the August 11 vote.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$83,041
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Michele Tafoya holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota Republican Senate primary due to early national party support, including an endorsement from NRSC Chairman Sen. Tim Scott, and dominant fundraising that reached $2.04 million in the first quarter of 2026—more than all other candidates combined. A February poll of likely Republican primary voters showed her ahead across every congressional district, reflecting her high name recognition from her background as a longtime sports broadcaster. Adam Schwarze, a former Navy SEAL, remains the clearest alternative but trails substantially amid a fragmented field that includes Royce White, Tom Weiler, and several lower-profile contenders. Recent reporting notes internal state party divisions over the national committee’s early involvement, yet these tensions have not shifted the primary dynamics ahead of the August 11 vote.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$83,041
Data de Término
11 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 2, 2025, 3:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michele Tafoya" at 78%, followed by "Adam Schwarze" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" has generated $83K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" is "Michele Tafoya" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adam Schwarze" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das primárias republicanas do Senado de Minnesota" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.