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Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire

icon for Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire
Política·Primárias

Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire

Cinde Warmington 75%

Tom Sherman 6.6%

John Kiper 5%

Deaglan McEachern 3.4%

Polymarket

$23,125 Vol.

Cinde Warmington 75%

Tom Sherman 6.6%

John Kiper 5%

Deaglan McEachern 3.4%

Polymarket

$23,125 Vol.

Cinde Warmington

$8,778 Vol.

75%

Tom Sherman

$1,956 Vol.

7%

John Kiper

$2,567 Vol.

5%

Deaglan McEachern

$8,600 Vol.

3%

Donovan Fenton

$1,224 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington commands trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her high name recognition as former Executive Councilor and strong 2024 primary showing, in a fragmented field lacking heavyweight challengers. State Sen. Tom Sherman trails at 8% with prior statewide experience but limited momentum since his 2022 gubernatorial run. Longshots John Kiper, Deaglan McEachern, and Donovan Fenton hold single digits amid reports of McEachern opting out in late February, further solidifying Warmington's position ahead of the June candidate filing deadline. Absent recent primary polls or endorsements from the state Democratic convention, her lead reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on continuity in a low-drama race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,125
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Cinde Warmington commands trader consensus at 75.5% implied probability for the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary on September 8, driven by her high name recognition as former Executive Councilor and strong 2024 primary showing, in a fragmented field lacking heavyweight challengers. State Sen. Tom Sherman trails at 8% with prior statewide experience but limited momentum since his 2022 gubernatorial run. Longshots John Kiper, Deaglan McEachern, and Donovan Fenton hold single digits amid reports of McEachern opting out in late February, further solidifying Warmington's position ahead of the June candidate filing deadline. Absent recent primary polls or endorsements from the state Democratic convention, her lead reflects the wisdom of crowds betting on continuity in a low-drama race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$23,125
Data de Término
8 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cinde Warmington" at 75%, followed by "Tom Sherman" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" has generated $23.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" is "Cinde Warmington" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Sherman" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária democrata do governador de New Hampshire" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.