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Economia·Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de junho?

icon for Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de junho?
Economia·Parcl

Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de junho?

$1.181M - $1.190M 64%

$1.172M - $1.181M 42%

US$ 1,190M - US$ 1,199M 2.5%

$1,199M - $1,208M 1.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

$1.181M - $1.190M 64%

$1.172M - $1.181M 42%

US$ 1,190M - US$ 1,199M 2.5%

$1,199M - $1,208M 1.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

<$1,172M

$279 Vol.

35%

$1.172M - $1.181M

$471 Vol.

43%

$1.181M - $1.190M

$681 Vol.

70%

US$ 1,190M - US$ 1,199M

$254 Vol.

2%

$1,199M - $1,208M

$169 Vol.

1%

$1,208M - $1,216M

$149 Vol.

<1%

>$1,216M

$149 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Los Angeles metro median sale prices and home values holding near $950,000–$1.05 million through May 2026, with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–0.9% amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% and persistent affordability constraints limiting buyer demand. These conditions, coupled with steady but not accelerating inventory levels and limited spring-season momentum, have kept upward price pressure contained, supporting the market-implied odds that favor the <$1.172 million outcome at 46.5%. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects the absence of near-term catalysts such as sharp rate cuts or supply shocks that could lift values into higher bins by the June 30 resolution date.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Volume
$2,151
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent Redfin and Zillow data show Los Angeles metro median sale prices and home values holding near $950,000–$1.05 million through May 2026, with modest year-over-year declines of 0.7–0.9% amid elevated 30-year mortgage rates near 6.5% and persistent affordability constraints limiting buyer demand. These conditions, coupled with steady but not accelerating inventory levels and limited spring-season momentum, have kept upward price pressure contained, supporting the market-implied odds that favor the <$1.172 million outcome at 46.5%. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects the absence of near-term catalysts such as sharp rate cuts or supply shocks that could lift values into higher bins by the June 30 resolution date.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Volume
$2,151
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$1.181M - $1.190M" at 70%, followed by "$1.172M - $1.181M" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de junho?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de junho?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de junho?" is "$1.181M - $1.190M" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$1.172M - $1.181M" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Los Angeles no dia 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.