Traders are monitoring the razor-thin competition among frontier AI labs as OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google remain tightly clustered atop independent benchmarks heading into late June. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant update in early May improved accuracy, memory handling, and agentic performance, reinforcing its position on reasoning and coding evaluations, yet Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro continue to match or exceed it on key metrics such as GPQA Diamond and SWE-bench. The absence of a clear gap means fresh model drops, benchmark refreshes, or developer ecosystem shifts in the next six weeks could still alter the leaderboard before the June 30 resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuais empresas terão um modelo de IA número1 até 30 de junho?
Quais empresas terão um modelo de IA número1 até 30 de junho?
$1,563,141 Vol.
30 jun 2026
OpenAI
11%
Mistral
7%
xAI
4%
Meta
4%
Baidu
3%
Z.ai
2%
Nvidia
2%
DeepSeek
2%
Alibaba
2%
Meituan
2%
$1,563,141 Vol.
OpenAI
$406,502 Vol.
11%
Mistral
$13,200 Vol.
7%
xAI
$559,434 Vol.
4%
Meta
$15,461 Vol.
4%
Baidu
$3,931 Vol.
3%
Z.ai
$10,760 Vol.
2%
Nvidia
$6,421 Vol.
2%
DeepSeek
$275,780 Vol.
2%
Alibaba
$10,627 Vol.
2%
Meituan
$3,056 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Traders are monitoring the razor-thin competition among frontier AI labs as OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google remain tightly clustered atop independent benchmarks heading into late June. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant update in early May improved accuracy, memory handling, and agentic performance, reinforcing its position on reasoning and coding evaluations, yet Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro continue to match or exceed it on key metrics such as GPQA Diamond and SWE-bench. The absence of a clear gap means fresh model drops, benchmark refreshes, or developer ecosystem shifts in the next six weeks could still alter the leaderboard before the June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,563,141Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Traders are monitoring the razor-thin competition among frontier AI labs as OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google remain tightly clustered atop independent benchmarks heading into late June. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant update in early May improved accuracy, memory handling, and agentic performance, reinforcing its position on reasoning and coding evaluations, yet Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro continue to match or exceed it on key metrics such as GPQA Diamond and SWE-bench. The absence of a clear gap means fresh model drops, benchmark refreshes, or developer ecosystem shifts in the next six weeks could still alter the leaderboard before the June 30 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Volume
$1,563,141Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders are monitoring the razor-thin competition among frontier AI labs as OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google remain tightly clustered atop independent benchmarks heading into late June. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Instant update in early May improved accuracy, memory handling, and agentic performance, reinforcing its position on reasoning and coding evaluations, yet Anthropic’s Claude Opus 4.7 and Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro continue to match or exceed it on key metrics such as GPQA Diamond and SWE-bench. The absence of a clear gap means fresh model drops, benchmark refreshes, or developer ecosystem shifts in the next six weeks could still alter the leaderboard before the June 30 resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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