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Tecnologia·IA

Qual empresa tem o modelo de IA número1 no final de abril? (Controle de Estilo Ativado)

icon for Qual empresa tem o modelo de IA número1 no final de abril? (Controle de Estilo Ativado)
Tecnologia·IA

Qual empresa tem o modelo de IA número1 no final de abril? (Controle de Estilo Ativado)

Ended: abr 30

mai 31

jun 30

Ended: abr 30

mai 31

jun 30

Anthropic 100.0%

Moonshot <1%

Amazon <1%

Mistral <1%

Polymarket

$2,002,923 Vol.

Anthropic 100.0%

Moonshot <1%

Amazon <1%

Mistral <1%

Polymarket

$2,002,923 Vol.

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$140,153 Vol.

Não

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$80,848 Vol.

Não

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$118,134 Vol.

Não

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$34,730 Vol.

Não

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$170,120 Vol.

Sim

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$45,324 Vol.

Não

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$86,407 Vol.

Não

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$61,138 Vol.

Não

icon for Google

Google

$221,932 Vol.

Não

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$90,867 Vol.

Não

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$129,060 Vol.

Não

icon for Meta

Meta

$39,510 Vol.

Não

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$235,032 Vol.

Não

icon for xAI

xAI

$226,933 Vol.

Não

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$322,734 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$2,002,923
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 Thinking model, released around April 16, 2026, has secured the top spot on the LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) with a leading 1503 Elo score, sweeping the top three positions ahead of rivals like OpenAI and Google models. This dominance stems from its superior reasoning capabilities in blind human evaluations that isolate substance from stylistic flair, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital at 100% implied probability. The model has held firm through late April despite competitive pressures, with no major challengers emerging. Realistic upset scenarios include a last-minute rival release or leaderboard recalibration before April 30 resolution, though proximity to deadline minimizes such risks.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$2,002,923
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual empresa tem o modelo de IA número1 no final de abril? (Controle de Estilo Ativado)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 100%, followed by "Moonshot" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual empresa tem o modelo de IA número1 no final de abril? (Controle de Estilo Ativado)" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual empresa tem o modelo de IA número1 no final de abril? (Controle de Estilo Ativado)," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual empresa tem o modelo de IA número1 no final de abril? (Controle de Estilo Ativado)" is "Anthropic" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Moonshot" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual empresa tem o modelo de IA número1 no final de abril? (Controle de Estilo Ativado)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.