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Geopolítica·Trump

Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?

icon for Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?
Geopolítica·Trump

Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

$268,681 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$268,681 Vol.

Polymarket

Coreia do Sul

$55,095 Vol.

28%

Canadá

$2,417 Vol.

25%

Índia

$38,411 Vol.

25%

Brasil

$3,158 Vol.

19%

Reino Unido

$419 Vol.

21%

Israel

$343 Vol.

18%

África do Sul

$354 Vol.

17%

Indonésia

$18,708 Vol.

15%

Vietnã

$5,155 Vol.

14%

Argentina

$19,939 Vol.

14%

México

$1,850 Vol.

14%

Japão

$5,093 Vol.

13%

Paquistão

$71,400 Vol.

13%

Rússia

$1,979 Vol.

13%

Taiwan

$31,675 Vol.

10%

Austrália

$5,214 Vol.

12%

União Europeia

$7,470 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade program, launched after April 2025 reciprocal tariff announcements that triggered bilateral framework negotiations with major partners. By early 2026, the administration had signed or implemented deals with the United Kingdom, Japan, Indonesia, India, Argentina, El Salvador, Ecuador, and Guatemala, often reducing baseline tariffs in exchange for market access and supply-chain commitments. The March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes converting additional frameworks—such as those with the European Union, South Korea, Switzerland, and Vietnam—into full agreements while pursuing enforcement and critical minerals deals. Ongoing talks and scheduled diplomatic engagements through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts that could determine further outcomes before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$268,681
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's second-term trade policy has centered on the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade program, launched after April 2025 reciprocal tariff announcements that triggered bilateral framework negotiations with major partners. By early 2026, the administration had signed or implemented deals with the United Kingdom, Japan, Indonesia, India, Argentina, El Salvador, Ecuador, and Guatemala, often reducing baseline tariffs in exchange for market access and supply-chain commitments. The March 2026 Trade Policy Agenda emphasizes converting additional frameworks—such as those with the European Union, South Korea, Switzerland, and Vietnam—into full agreements while pursuing enforcement and critical minerals deals. Ongoing talks and scheduled diplomatic engagements through late 2026 remain the primary catalysts that could determine further outcomes before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$268,681
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Coreia do Sul" at 28%, followed by "Canadá" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" has generated $268.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" is "Coreia do Sul" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Canadá" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Com quais países Trump fará novos acordos comerciais antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.