Skip to main content
icon for Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?

Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?

icon for Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?

Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?

A Odisseia 80%

Duna: Messias 6.3%

Projeto Hail Mary 4.9%

O Cavalo Selvagem Nove <1%

Polymarket

$97,187 Vol.

A Odisseia 80%

Duna: Messias 6.3%

Projeto Hail Mary 4.9%

O Cavalo Selvagem Nove <1%

Polymarket

$97,187 Vol.

A Odisseia

$27,515 Vol.

80%

Duna: Messias

$42,369 Vol.

6%

Projeto Hail Mary

$7,291 Vol.

5%

O Cavalo Selvagem Nove

$4,074 Vol.

1%

The Social Reckoning

$3,060 Vol.

1%

A Noiva!

$3,075 Vol.

<1%

O Morro dos Ventos Uivantes

$3,190 Vol.

<1%

O Dia da Divulgação

$6,612 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey stands as the clear frontrunner for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, with early 2026 industry predictions projecting as many as 14 nods across major categories. Its epic scale, Warner Bros. backing, and Nolan’s proven awards momentum have driven overwhelming trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability. Dune: Messiah trails at 6.3%, buoyed by Denis Villeneuve’s franchise pedigree yet tempered by a late-2026 release window that could limit precursor visibility. Project Hail Mary sits at 4.9%, drawing interest from Ryan Gosling’s star turn and Phil Lord/Chris Miller’s direction, though it lacks the breadth of support seen for The Odyssey. Fall festivals and guild nominations will serve as key swing factors in the coming months.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$97,187
Data de Término
28 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey stands as the clear frontrunner for the most nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, with early 2026 industry predictions projecting as many as 14 nods across major categories. Its epic scale, Warner Bros. backing, and Nolan’s proven awards momentum have driven overwhelming trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability. Dune: Messiah trails at 6.3%, buoyed by Denis Villeneuve’s franchise pedigree yet tempered by a late-2026 release window that could limit precursor visibility. Project Hail Mary sits at 4.9%, drawing interest from Ryan Gosling’s star turn and Phil Lord/Chris Miller’s direction, though it lacks the breadth of support seen for The Odyssey. Fall festivals and guild nominations will serve as key swing factors in the coming months.

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$97,187
Data de Término
28 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Relacionado

icon for A Odisséia vencerá o prêmio de Melhor Filme no 99º Oscar?

A Odisséia vencerá o prêmio de Melhor Filme no 99º Oscar?

50%
Sim
icon for Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

97%
icon for Matt Damon ganhará o prêmio de Melhor Ator no 99º Oscar?

Matt Damon ganhará o prêmio de Melhor Ator no 99º Oscar?

30%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Odisseia" at 80%, followed by "Duna: Messias" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?" has generated $97.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?" is "A Odisseia" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duna: Messias" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.