Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey commands the strongest trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability thanks to the director’s recent Best Picture success, a star-packed ensemble, and early trailer footage signaling dominant technical and craft nominations. Dune: Messiah sits at 22.5% as the likely conclusion to a franchise with proven awards momentum in visual categories. Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day and the Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary follow at 12.0% and 10.1%, respectively, buoyed by their high-profile pedigrees and anticipated summer critical reception. With release dates clustered in the coming months, early reviews, guild tracking, and box-office performance will determine whether these frontrunners extend their leads or face late surges from competitors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?
Qual filme terá mais indicações ao Oscar na 99ª edição do Oscar?
A Odisseia 48%
Duna: Messias 23%
O Dia da Divulgação 12%
Projeto Hail Mary 10.1%
$18,010 Vol.
$18,010 Vol.
28 fev 2027
A Odisseia
48%
Duna: Messias
23%
O Dia da Divulgação
12%
Projeto Hail Mary
10%
O Morro dos Ventos Uivantes
4%
A Noiva!
1%
The Social Reckoning
<1%
O Cavalo Selvagem Nove
<1%
A Odisseia 48%
Duna: Messias 23%
O Dia da Divulgação 12%
Projeto Hail Mary 10.1%
$18,010 Vol.
$18,010 Vol.
28 fev 2027
A Odisseia
$5,423 Vol.
48%
Duna: Messias
$3,411 Vol.
23%
O Dia da Divulgação
$2,855 Vol.
12%
Projeto Hail Mary
$2,320 Vol.
10%
O Morro dos Ventos Uivantes
$1,782 Vol.
4%
A Noiva!
$1,381 Vol.
1%
The Social Reckoning
$539 Vol.
<1%
O Cavalo Selvagem Nove
$298 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey commands the strongest trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability thanks to the director’s recent Best Picture success, a star-packed ensemble, and early trailer footage signaling dominant technical and craft nominations. Dune: Messiah sits at 22.5% as the likely conclusion to a franchise with proven awards momentum in visual categories. Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day and the Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary follow at 12.0% and 10.1%, respectively, buoyed by their high-profile pedigrees and anticipated summer critical reception. With release dates clustered in the coming months, early reviews, guild tracking, and box-office performance will determine whether these frontrunners extend their leads or face late surges from competitors.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$18,010Data de Término
28 fev 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey commands the strongest trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability thanks to the director’s recent Best Picture success, a star-packed ensemble, and early trailer footage signaling dominant technical and craft nominations. Dune: Messiah sits at 22.5% as the likely conclusion to a franchise with proven awards momentum in visual categories. Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day and the Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary follow at 12.0% and 10.1%, respectively, buoyed by their high-profile pedigrees and anticipated summer critical reception. With release dates clustered in the coming months, early reviews, guild tracking, and box-office performance will determine whether these frontrunners extend their leads or face late surges from competitors.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,010Data de Término
28 fev 2027Mercado Aberto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey commands the strongest trader consensus at 47.5% implied probability thanks to the director’s recent Best Picture success, a star-packed ensemble, and early trailer footage signaling dominant technical and craft nominations. Dune: Messiah sits at 22.5% as the likely conclusion to a franchise with proven awards momentum in visual categories. Steven Spielberg’s Disclosure Day and the Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary follow at 12.0% and 10.1%, respectively, buoyed by their high-profile pedigrees and anticipated summer critical reception. With release dates clustered in the coming months, early reviews, guild tracking, and box-office performance will determine whether these frontrunners extend their leads or face late surges from competitors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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