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Política·Presidente

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

icon for Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?
Política·Presidente

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

NOVO
31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$9,635 Vol.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both major parties are actively testing the waters through media appearances, polling, and early fundraising as the 2024 cycle concludes, though Ballotpedia reports no major noteworthy announcements as of mid-2026. Democratic figures such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez feature prominently in early surveys, while Republican names including JD Vance and Marco Rubio draw attention amid discussions of party direction. The DNC's proposed 2028 primary calendar and post-midterm timing in late 2026 or early 2027 represent key windows for formal declarations. Minor exploratory filings and hints from figures like Jo Jorgensen have occurred, but trader assessments reflect uncertainty over which high-profile candidates will commit ahead of the November 2028 election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,635
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Potential 2028 presidential contenders from both major parties are actively testing the waters through media appearances, polling, and early fundraising as the 2024 cycle concludes, though Ballotpedia reports no major noteworthy announcements as of mid-2026. Democratic figures such as Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez feature prominently in early surveys, while Republican names including JD Vance and Marco Rubio draw attention amid discussions of party direction. The DNC's proposed 2028 primary calendar and post-midterm timing in late 2026 or early 2027 represent key windows for formal declarations. Minor exploratory filings and hints from figures like Jo Jorgensen have occurred, but trader assessments reflect uncertainty over which high-profile candidates will commit ahead of the November 2028 election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,635
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Buttigieg" at 83%, followed by "Ted Cruz" at 79%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?" is "Pete Buttigieg" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ted Cruz" at 79%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.