Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect and technical channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window to address the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues after earlier ceasefire rounds in Oman, Islamabad, and elsewhere. As of mid-August 2026, direct high-level talks remain stalled amid disputes over Hormuz navigation and implementation, with the US and Iran exchanging messages via intermediaries while Pakistan and Oman pursue mediation. Iranian officials have denied formal bilateral negotiations and emphasized Oman-focused discussions, whereas US statements describe ongoing efforts and a limited window for progress. Any new round by December 31 would likely involve envoys or technical teams rather than principals, depending on de-escalation in the waterway and verification steps.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$47,279 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Steve Witkoff
70%
Jared Kushner
69%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
67%
Abbas Araghchi
66%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
52%
Rafael Grossi
51%
J.D. Vance
44%
Masoud Pezeshkian
44%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
27%
Ishaq Dar
36%
Nick Stewart
21%
Kazem Gharibabadi
20%
Marco Rubio
20%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
16%
Donald Trump
12%
Esmail Qaani
12%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
Ahmad Vahidi
43%
$47,279 Vol.
Steve Witkoff
$974 Vol.
70%
Jared Kushner
$930 Vol.
69%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$949 Vol.
67%
Abbas Araghchi
$1,107 Vol.
66%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$1,580 Vol.
52%
Rafael Grossi
$773 Vol.
51%
J.D. Vance
$2,193 Vol.
44%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$549 Vol.
44%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$4,296 Vol.
27%
Ishaq Dar
$1,444 Vol.
36%
Nick Stewart
$687 Vol.
21%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$4,430 Vol.
20%
Marco Rubio
$2,302 Vol.
20%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,597 Vol.
16%
Donald Trump
$59 Vol.
12%
Esmail Qaani
$1,795 Vol.
12%
Pete Hegseth
$2,478 Vol.
6%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,111 Vol.
5%
Ahmad Vahidi
$25 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect and technical channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window to address the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues after earlier ceasefire rounds in Oman, Islamabad, and elsewhere. As of mid-August 2026, direct high-level talks remain stalled amid disputes over Hormuz navigation and implementation, with the US and Iran exchanging messages via intermediaries while Pakistan and Oman pursue mediation. Iranian officials have denied formal bilateral negotiations and emphasized Oman-focused discussions, whereas US statements describe ongoing efforts and a limited window for progress. Any new round by December 31 would likely involve envoys or technical teams rather than principals, depending on de-escalation in the waterway and verification steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$47,279Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect and technical channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window to address the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues after earlier ceasefire rounds in Oman, Islamabad, and elsewhere. As of mid-August 2026, direct high-level talks remain stalled amid disputes over Hormuz navigation and implementation, with the US and Iran exchanging messages via intermediaries while Pakistan and Oman pursue mediation. Iranian officials have denied formal bilateral negotiations and emphasized Oman-focused discussions, whereas US statements describe ongoing efforts and a limited window for progress. Any new round by December 31 would likely involve envoys or technical teams rather than principals, depending on de-escalation in the waterway and verification steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$47,279Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect and technical channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which outlined a 60-day window to address the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues after earlier ceasefire rounds in Oman, Islamabad, and elsewhere. As of mid-August 2026, direct high-level talks remain stalled amid disputes over Hormuz navigation and implementation, with the US and Iran exchanging messages via intermediaries while Pakistan and Oman pursue mediation. Iranian officials have denied formal bilateral negotiations and emphasized Oman-focused discussions, whereas US statements describe ongoing efforts and a limited window for progress. Any new round by December 31 would likely involve envoys or technical teams rather than principals, depending on de-escalation in the waterway and verification steps.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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