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icon for Algum candidato presidencial vencerá de imediato no primeiro turno das eleições da Colômbia?
Mundo·Eleições Globais

Algum candidato presidencial vencerá de imediato no primeiro turno das eleições da Colômbia?

icon for Algum candidato presidencial vencerá de imediato no primeiro turno das eleições da Colômbia?
Mundo·Eleições Globais

Algum candidato presidencial vencerá de imediato no primeiro turno das eleições da Colômbia?

Sim

6% chance
Polymarket

$47,000 Vol.

Sim

6% chance
Polymarket

$47,000 Vol.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The fragmented field of candidates ahead of Colombia's May 31 presidential first round has anchored trader expectations for a June 21 runoff. Recent polls show leading contender Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact coalition at 35-44 percent, with right-leaning Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Paloma Valencia each near 20-25 percent and remaining options trailing further behind. No candidate has approached the 50 percent threshold needed for an outright victory under Colombia's two-round system, while vote splitting among left, right, and centrist blocs continues to limit consolidation. This distribution aligns with patterns from prior cycles where opposition fragmentation produced runoffs, leaving only narrow late-campaign shifts capable of altering the outcome before ballots close.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$47,000
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The fragmented field of candidates ahead of Colombia's May 31 presidential first round has anchored trader expectations for a June 21 runoff. Recent polls show leading contender Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact coalition at 35-44 percent, with right-leaning Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Paloma Valencia each near 20-25 percent and remaining options trailing further behind. No candidate has approached the 50 percent threshold needed for an outright victory under Colombia's two-round system, while vote splitting among left, right, and centrist blocs continues to limit consolidation. This distribution aligns with patterns from prior cycles where opposition fragmentation produced runoffs, leaving only narrow late-campaign shifts capable of altering the outcome before ballots close.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$47,000
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Algum candidato presidencial vencerá de imediato no primeiro turno das eleições da Colômbia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Algum candidato presidencial vencerá diretamente no primeiro turno da eleição na Colômbia?" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 6¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 6% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Algum candidato presidencial vencerá de imediato no primeiro turno das eleições da Colômbia?" has generated $47K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Algum candidato presidencial vencerá de imediato no primeiro turno das eleições da Colômbia?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Algum candidato presidencial vencerá de imediato no primeiro turno das eleições da Colômbia?" is "Algum candidato presidencial vencerá diretamente no primeiro turno da eleição na Colômbia?" at just 6%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Algum candidato presidencial vencerá de imediato no primeiro turno das eleições da Colômbia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.