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icon for Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?

Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?

icon for Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?

Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$16,849 Vol.

Sim

9% chance
Polymarket

$16,849 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. **Recent legislative action centered on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed in July 2025, which permanently extended most 2017 TCJA business provisions—including full expensing, domestic R&D deductibility, and modified international rules—while preserving the 21% corporate rate.** No subsequent measures have advanced a further statutory rate reduction. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, congressional attention has shifted to appropriations, defense authorization, and other year-end priorities during the lame-duck period. Limited floor time and the absence of active reconciliation instructions targeting corporate rates constrain prospects for new rate legislation before 2027. Corporate receipts have declined due to OBBBA incentives, but this reflects existing policy rather than new rate cuts. Traders view the compressed timeline and crowded agenda as significant barriers to enactment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$16,849
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used. **Recent legislative action centered on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), signed in July 2025, which permanently extended most 2017 TCJA business provisions—including full expensing, domestic R&D deductibility, and modified international rules—while preserving the 21% corporate rate.** No subsequent measures have advanced a further statutory rate reduction. With the November 2026 midterms approaching, congressional attention has shifted to appropriations, defense authorization, and other year-end priorities during the lame-duck period. Limited floor time and the absence of active reconciliation instructions targeting corporate rates constrain prospects for new rate legislation before 2027. Corporate receipts have declined due to OBBBA incentives, but this reflects existing policy rather than new rate cuts. Traders view the compressed timeline and crowded agenda as significant barriers to enactment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$16,849
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump cortará os impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 9¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 9% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" has generated $16.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" is "Trump cortará os impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" at just 9%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Trump cortará impostos corporativos antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.