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Will Trump dance on...?

icon for Will Trump dance on...?

Will Trump dance on...?

$268,832 Vol.

31 mai 2026
Polymarket

$268,832 Vol.

Polymarket

May 13

$3,699 Vol.

<1%

May 14

$173 Vol.

27%

May 15

$6 Vol.

21%

May 16

$60 Vol.

11%

May 17

$50 Vol.

43%

May 18

$0 Vol.

42%

May 19

$0 Vol.

22%

May 20

$57 Vol.

24%

May 21

$0 Vol.

41%

May 22

$0 Vol.

41%

May 23

$0 Vol.

23%

May 24

$0 Vol.

23%

May 25

$0 Vol.

23%

May 26

$0 Vol.

23%

May 27

$0 Vol.

23%

May 28

$0 Vol.

23%

May 29

$0 Vol.

23%

May 30

$6 Vol.

23%

May 31

$24 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.**President Donald Trump's fist-pump "YMCA" dance—a viral pop culture staple from his rally finales and White House moments—fuels daily Polymarket speculation on public performances, resolving via video evidence by midnight ET.** Recent highlights include instructing students in the moves during a May 5 White House fitness event and electrifying a May 1 The Villages rally crowd, sustaining meme momentum amid 2026's high-energy public engagements. However, no dances surfaced in the last 48 hours as Trump traveled to Beijing for a critical summit with Xi Jinping, featuring a formal state banquet tonight local time. Diplomatic protocol in such international settings rarely accommodates the celebratory routine, though surprise lighthearted interactions could shift trader consensus; bilateral talks continue through May 15.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$268,832
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.**President Donald Trump's fist-pump "YMCA" dance—a viral pop culture staple from his rally finales and White House moments—fuels daily Polymarket speculation on public performances, resolving via video evidence by midnight ET.** Recent highlights include instructing students in the moves during a May 5 White House fitness event and electrifying a May 1 The Villages rally crowd, sustaining meme momentum amid 2026's high-energy public engagements. However, no dances surfaced in the last 48 hours as Trump traveled to Beijing for a critical summit with Xi Jinping, featuring a formal state banquet tonight local time. Diplomatic protocol in such international settings rarely accommodates the celebratory routine, though surprise lighthearted interactions could shift trader consensus; bilateral talks continue through May 15.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify.

This market will resolve based on video footage.
Volume
$268,832
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 28, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump dance on...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 31 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "May 1" at 100%, followed by "May 5" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump dance on...?" has generated $268.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump dance on...?," browse the 31 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Trump dance on...?" is "May 1" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "May 5" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump dance on...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.