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icon for Trump perdoará alguém por...?

Trump perdoará alguém por...?

icon for Trump perdoará alguém por...?

Trump perdoará alguém por...?

NOVO
30 set 2026
Polymarket

$2,000 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de setembro

$631 Vol.

52%

31 de dezembro

$1,368 Vol.

83%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised his pardon authority extensively in his second term, granting clemency to over 160 individuals by early September 2026, including a batch of 30 pardons and commutations on September 3 for drug, fraud, and firearms offenses, plus additional grants days later. Initial actions on inauguration day covered roughly 1,600 January 6 cases, followed by targeted releases for allies and others through mid-2026. Discussions of broader initiatives, such as around the nation's semiquincentennial, have surfaced alongside routine grants. These patterns reflect ongoing executive discretion over federal sentences, with trader views shaped by the frequency of recent actions and any signals on future timelines or eligibility criteria.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,000
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised his pardon authority extensively in his second term, granting clemency to over 160 individuals by early September 2026, including a batch of 30 pardons and commutations on September 3 for drug, fraud, and firearms offenses, plus additional grants days later. Initial actions on inauguration day covered roughly 1,600 January 6 cases, followed by targeted releases for allies and others through mid-2026. Discussions of broader initiatives, such as around the nation's semiquincentennial, have surfaced alongside routine grants. These patterns reflect ongoing executive discretion over federal sentences, with trader views shaped by the frequency of recent actions and any signals on future timelines or eligibility criteria.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,000
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Sep 14, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump perdoará alguém por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 83%, followed by "30 de setembro" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump perdoará alguém por...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump perdoará alguém por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump perdoará alguém por...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de setembro" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump perdoará alguém por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.