Trump’s ongoing use of direct, confrontational language in public statements, interviews, and Truth Social posts continues to shape trader expectations for daily insult markets. In recent days the president has criticized reporters as “dumb” and “stupid” during White House exchanges and targeted Democratic figures and state-level candidates with terms such as “Dumocrats” and attacks on policy positions. These exchanges reflect established patterns of rhetoric that traders treat as reliable signals when assessing short-term probabilities. Scheduled press availability, upcoming international travel, and ongoing legislative debates over tariffs and foreign policy could trigger additional statements before month-end. Historical volume on similar daily contracts shows consistent resolution toward affirmative outcomes when press interactions or social-media activity occur.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$509,115 Vol.
31 mai 2026
May 18
95%
May 19
95%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
89%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
$509,115 Vol.
May 18
$7,892 Vol.
95%
May 19
$2,252 Vol.
95%
May 20
$1,797 Vol.
91%
May 21
$748 Vol.
90%
May 22
$1,083 Vol.
93%
May 23
$153 Vol.
91%
May 24
$497 Vol.
90%
May 25
$626 Vol.
91%
May 26
$735 Vol.
91%
May 27
$1,035 Vol.
89%
May 28
$523 Vol.
91%
May 29
$383 Vol.
91%
May 30
$97 Vol.
91%
May 31
$399 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s ongoing use of direct, confrontational language in public statements, interviews, and Truth Social posts continues to shape trader expectations for daily insult markets. In recent days the president has criticized reporters as “dumb” and “stupid” during White House exchanges and targeted Democratic figures and state-level candidates with terms such as “Dumocrats” and attacks on policy positions. These exchanges reflect established patterns of rhetoric that traders treat as reliable signals when assessing short-term probabilities. Scheduled press availability, upcoming international travel, and ongoing legislative debates over tariffs and foreign policy could trigger additional statements before month-end. Historical volume on similar daily contracts shows consistent resolution toward affirmative outcomes when press interactions or social-media activity occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volume
$509,115Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump’s ongoing use of direct, confrontational language in public statements, interviews, and Truth Social posts continues to shape trader expectations for daily insult markets. In recent days the president has criticized reporters as “dumb” and “stupid” during White House exchanges and targeted Democratic figures and state-level candidates with terms such as “Dumocrats” and attacks on policy positions. These exchanges reflect established patterns of rhetoric that traders treat as reliable signals when assessing short-term probabilities. Scheduled press availability, upcoming international travel, and ongoing legislative debates over tariffs and foreign policy could trigger additional statements before month-end. Historical volume on similar daily contracts shows consistent resolution toward affirmative outcomes when press interactions or social-media activity occur.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$509,115Data de Término
31 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s ongoing use of direct, confrontational language in public statements, interviews, and Truth Social posts continues to shape trader expectations for daily insult markets. In recent days the president has criticized reporters as “dumb” and “stupid” during White House exchanges and targeted Democratic figures and state-level candidates with terms such as “Dumocrats” and attacks on policy positions. These exchanges reflect established patterns of rhetoric that traders treat as reliable signals when assessing short-term probabilities. Scheduled press availability, upcoming international travel, and ongoing legislative debates over tariffs and foreign policy could trigger additional statements before month-end. Historical volume on similar daily contracts shows consistent resolution toward affirmative outcomes when press interactions or social-media activity occur.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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