The 22nd Amendment’s two-term limit on presidential elections stands as the dominant barrier, with Republican congressional majorities of roughly 53-47 in the Senate and 218-212 in the House falling far short of the two-thirds thresholds required for any amendment. No joint resolution has advanced beyond introduction, including the January 2025 proposal to permit a third non-consecutive term, and House Speaker Mike Johnson has publicly stated there is no viable legislative path. Recent statements from President Trump himself have described the existing restriction as “very strong,” while continued references to 2028 have been widely viewed as rhetorical rather than operational. Amending the Constitution within the remaining months of 2026 would also require ratification by three-fourths of the states, a process that has succeeded only 27 times in U.S. history. Trader consensus at 96.6 percent “No” therefore reflects these structural and political realities. Late-session legal maneuvers or sudden shifts in congressional control remain the only conceivable developments that could alter the outcome before year-end.