Recent inflation readings and geopolitical energy shocks have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50-3.75 percent, with the FOMC holding steady at its April 29 meeting amid divided votes. Hotter-than-expected March CPI at 3.3 percent, driven largely by gasoline prices tied to Middle East tensions, has lifted the odds of a 2026 hike to roughly one-in-three while still leaving the consensus firmly against any increase. Traders point to resilient labor-market data and the absence of clear disinflation progress as factors that could prompt a quarter-point hike later this year, yet the market-implied path through year-end remains a hold, with the next policy signals due at the June FOMC meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$1,100,808 Объем
$1,100,808 Объем
9 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$1,100,808 Объем
$1,100,808 Объем
9 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings and geopolitical energy shocks have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50-3.75 percent, with the FOMC holding steady at its April 29 meeting amid divided votes. Hotter-than-expected March CPI at 3.3 percent, driven largely by gasoline prices tied to Middle East tensions, has lifted the odds of a 2026 hike to roughly one-in-three while still leaving the consensus firmly against any increase. Traders point to resilient labor-market data and the absence of clear disinflation progress as factors that could prompt a quarter-point hike later this year, yet the market-implied path through year-end remains a hold, with the next policy signals due at the June FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Объем
$1,100,808Дата окончания
9 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation readings and geopolitical energy shocks have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50-3.75 percent, with the FOMC holding steady at its April 29 meeting amid divided votes. Hotter-than-expected March CPI at 3.3 percent, driven largely by gasoline prices tied to Middle East tensions, has lifted the odds of a 2026 hike to roughly one-in-three while still leaving the consensus firmly against any increase. Traders point to resilient labor-market data and the absence of clear disinflation progress as factors that could prompt a quarter-point hike later this year, yet the market-implied path through year-end remains a hold, with the next policy signals due at the June FOMC meeting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,100,808Дата окончания
9 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation readings and geopolitical energy shocks have kept the federal funds rate anchored at 3.50-3.75 percent, with the FOMC holding steady at its April 29 meeting amid divided votes. Hotter-than-expected March CPI at 3.3 percent, driven largely by gasoline prices tied to Middle East tensions, has lifted the odds of a 2026 hike to roughly one-in-three while still leaving the consensus firmly against any increase. Traders point to resilient labor-market data and the absence of clear disinflation progress as factors that could prompt a quarter-point hike later this year, yet the market-implied path through year-end remains a hold, with the next policy signals due at the June FOMC meeting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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