Senate leaders reached a bipartisan agreement in early August 2026 on a continuing resolution to extend current funding levels through December, with the Senate passing the measure 90-6. House action on a parallel short-term funding bill through early December has advanced as well. Both chambers acted ahead of the September 30 expiration to sidestep a lapse ahead of the midterm elections, reflecting institutional pressure to maintain operations amid recent FY2026 funding disputes. This legislative momentum underpins the strong trader consensus against an October 1 appropriations lapse, though final enactment remains subject to conference reconciliation and presidential signature.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФедеральные ассигнования истекают 1 октября?
Федеральные ассигнования истекают 1 октября?
12% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 окт. 2026 г.
12% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 окт. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate leaders reached a bipartisan agreement in early August 2026 on a continuing resolution to extend current funding levels through December, with the Senate passing the measure 90-6. House action on a parallel short-term funding bill through early December has advanced as well. Both chambers acted ahead of the September 30 expiration to sidestep a lapse ahead of the midterm elections, reflecting institutional pressure to maintain operations amid recent FY2026 funding disputes. This legislative momentum underpins the strong trader consensus against an October 1 appropriations lapse, though final enactment remains subject to conference reconciliation and presidential signature.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,340Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senate leaders reached a bipartisan agreement in early August 2026 on a continuing resolution to extend current funding levels through December, with the Senate passing the measure 90-6. House action on a parallel short-term funding bill through early December has advanced as well. Both chambers acted ahead of the September 30 expiration to sidestep a lapse ahead of the midterm elections, reflecting institutional pressure to maintain operations amid recent FY2026 funding disputes. This legislative momentum underpins the strong trader consensus against an October 1 appropriations lapse, though final enactment remains subject to conference reconciliation and presidential signature.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a partial or full United States federal government lapse in appropriations occurs on October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress and the President fail to enact legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
A lapse of any duration affecting any portion of the United States federal government will qualify, regardless of whether it results in any operational impact. A subsequent government shutdown is not necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government, including from Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,340Дата окончания
1 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate leaders reached a bipartisan agreement in early August 2026 on a continuing resolution to extend current funding levels through December, with the Senate passing the measure 90-6. House action on a parallel short-term funding bill through early December has advanced as well. Both chambers acted ahead of the September 30 expiration to sidestep a lapse ahead of the midterm elections, reflecting institutional pressure to maintain operations amid recent FY2026 funding disputes. This legislative momentum underpins the strong trader consensus against an October 1 appropriations lapse, though final enactment remains subject to conference reconciliation and presidential signature.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы