Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 13 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 13 августа?
27°C 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$38,252 Объем
$38,252 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
Нет
24°C
Нет
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Да
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Нет
32°C
Нет
33°C или выше
Нет
27°C 100.0%
23°C или ниже <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$38,252 Объем
$38,252 Объем
13 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$447 Объем
Нет
24°C
$667 Объем
Нет
25°C
$1,147 Объем
Нет
26°C
$3,556 Объем
Нет
27°C
$14,284 Объем
Да
28°C
$9,373 Объем
Нет
29°C
$3,501 Объем
Нет
30°C
$2,932 Объем
Нет
31°C
$805 Объем
Нет
32°C
$1,274 Объем
Нет
33°C или выше
$267 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$38,252Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$38,252Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Current meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 13, 2026, from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum temperature of 27°C, driven by typical late-summer atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly winds, partial cloud cover, and moderating sea-breeze effects from the Bosphorus that limit peak heating. This aligns with long-term August climatology showing average highs near 28°C, and recent model consensus reinforces the outcome with minimal divergence. The 100% market-implied probability on 27°C reflects trader consensus on verified observational thresholds and short-range numerical weather prediction runs ahead of final station data. Scenarios that could shift resolution include unexpected convective development raising readings above the threshold or post-event measurement adjustments from official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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